Why, when the dollar is looking high and mighty? Just as Russia saw an opportunity to strike Ukraine, so might China be looking to slip the yuan in inside global trade. We’ve spoken about China wanting few things more than the yuan replacing the dollar as the global reserve currency.
It’s a long road, and one of the ways to do it would be to make it fully convertible to gold. That move would dispel a lot of the “currency manipulation” reputation the yuan has, from lack of stability to excessive Party meddling in central bank affairs.
If China was indeed to come out with a gold-backed yuan, it would probably be the best way to immediately and strongly rival the dollar. Furthermore, this would be the kind of reaffirmation that gold hasn’t gotten in decades. The first nation who declares their currency is fully-convertible to gold would, I believe, reap massive economic benefits – and leave every other unbacked currency in the world scrambling for relevance.
Just as Nixon’s announcement that ended the gold standard led to a global decoupling of money from tangible value, one major nation returning to any form of a gold standard would, I predict, inspire a wave of follow-the-leader from every other economic power.
Gold would, once again (and as it ever has), be money. The global demand for gold from central banks would, I expect, dwarf this year’s 50-year record buying
A somewhat unrelated news piece tells us that Ghana is planning to buy oil with gold instead of the U.S. dollar. Obviously, oil supply and demand has tied very closely to this whole “Red gold standard” dollar displacement story. While the African nation isn’t allied with either Russia or China in a political sense, it might be worth monitoring stories like this. Are they merely novelties, or will other nations make similar economic moves in the near future?
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