China Building Over 100 New ICBM Silos - 'Major Expansion Of Nuclear Capabilities'

China Building Over 100 New ICBM Silos According To New Satellite Data

TYLER DURDEN

Commercial satellite imagery obtained by the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies suggest that China is building over 100 new silos for intercontinental ballistic missiles in a desert close to the northwestern city of Yumen, which - if true, could signal a 'major expansion of Beijing's nuclear capabilities,' according to the Washington Post.

The Monterey, California-based James Martin Center says the images reveal that work is now underway at 'scores of sites across a grid covering hundreds of square miles' of arid terrain in the country's Gansu province. At least 119 nearly identical construction sites which contain features seen at existing launch facilities for China's nuclear arsenal have been observed.

The sites are spaced approximately two miles apart, and many are concealed by large, dome-like coverings - a practice WaPo says has been observed during construction at known missile silos. Where the dome is not in place, crews can be seen excavating a circular-shaped pit in the desert floor.

The acquisition of more than 100 new missile silos, if completed, would represent a historic shift for China, a country that is believed to possess a relatively modest stockpile of 250 to 350 nuclear weapons. The actual number of new missiles intended for those silos is unknown but could be much smaller. China has deployed decoy silos in the past.

During the Cold War, the United States developed a plan to move its ICBMs across a matrix of silos in a kind of nuclear shell game, to ensure that Soviet war planners could never know exactly where the missiles were at any given time.

The construction boom suggests a major effort to bolster the credibility of China’s nuclear deterrent, said researcher Jeffrey Lewis, an expert on China’s nuclear arsenal and part of a team that analyzed the suspicious sites, first spotted by colleague Decker Eveleth as he scoured photos taken by commercial satellites over northwestern China. Lewis described the scale of the building spree as “incredible.” -WaPo

"If the silos under construction at other sites across China are added to the count, the total comes to about 145 silos under construction," said Lewis, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Center for Nonproliferation Studies, part of the Middlebury Institute of International Studies. "We believe China is expanding its nuclear forces in part to maintain a deterrent that can survive a U.S. first strike in sufficient numbers to defeat U.S. missile defenses."

Lewis believes the silos will likely house a Chinese ICBM known as the DF-41, which is capable of carrying multiple warheads and has a reach of at least 9,300 miles, close enough to reach US mainland.

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