Thursday, August 27, 2026
The Earth Is Groaning: Why Escalating Global Birth Pangs Signal the Approaching End of the Age
Iran’s Strait of Hormuz trump card is losing strategic value
Though the Islamic Republic of Iran has established a “sophisticated panoply” to protect itself against the possibility of regime change, its trump card, the Strait of Hormuz, is losing its strategic value and will continue to do so, Thomas O’Donnell, an American energy and geopolitics strategist and a Global Fellow of the Wilson Center, told The Jerusalem Post on Thursday.
With many of the regime’s regional proxies degraded over years of war with Israel and its nuclear ambitions delayed after the 12 Day War in June last year, Tehranonly has its rockets, drones, and ability to threaten the Strait of Hormuz left as an insurance policy against attempts to topple the regime, he noted.
These remaining elements will be used to dissuade action while it restores the others, but they are losing the weight they once carried, O’Donnell added.
Though 14 to 15 million barrels of oil traveled through Hormuz per day before the war, he argued that it was very possible to manage without much of that supply.
Saudi Arabia’s East-West Crude Oil Pipeline moves around five million barrels per day for non-domestic use, while the United Arab Emirates moves an average of 1.5 to 1.8m. bpd through its own pipeline, he calculated.
Some 400m. barrels of oil and refined petroleum products were unanimously approved for release by the 32 member nations of the International Energy Agency (IEA), while the US government committed 172 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
None of this even touches on the oil supplied by the Western Hemisphere, where roughly 32% to 40% of the world’s total oil originates.
“There’s more production in other places, but [the disruption of] oil has not been anything like it would have been 20 years ago if they closed the strait,” he said, explaining how the US’s own oil and fracking industries have helped mitigate much of the damage.
“The oil price, it’ll go up and down. The fact that it went over $100 [a barrel], and the next day it was $80, that means that’s geostrategic variability. That’s not fundamental.”
A number of planned pipelines, namely the UAE’s plans to double its oil output through a parallel pipeline and Iraq’s plans for an Iraq-to-Syria pipeline, will also weaken the strategic value of Hormuz as states develop alternative routes.
Reflecting on these developments, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shared earlier this month the prediction that the strait “is going to become just another body of water” over the next two years, estimating that 50-70% of the exports passing through the waterway would instead travel through underground pipelines.
Noting that the Iran-backed militias operating in Iraq could still cause some issues with the planned pipeline, he reasoned that this would provide further motivation for Iraq to keep to its September 30 deadline to disarm the groups.
O’Donnell further argued that beyond Hormuz becoming less valuable as a transit point for fuel, Iran’s own ability to defend its claim over the waterway has also diminished, as has its ability to attack neighboring states’ alternative oil routes.
Can Technology Detect Who Bows to the Antichrist?
UK military sites could become targets – Moscow
“We have repeatedly warned that the response to Ukrainian strikes using British weapons against Russian territory could be directed against any British military facilities and equipment in Ukraine and beyond,” Zakharova said during a press briefing on Thursday.
Those responsible for attacks on Russian civilians will be punished, she added, warning that their “accomplices and instigators” will also face consequences.
Zakharova accused successive British governments of pursuing a long-term objective of inflicting a so-called “strategic defeat” on Russia, and urged “all residents of the United Kingdom to think about the inevitable, catastrophic consequences of the hostile steps taken by their own authorities.”
The spokeswoman called on the British government to “immediately, decisively and unequivocally” abandon its aggressive policies that threaten to push the conflict “to a fundamentally new level.”
Earlier this week, Britain approved the transfer of classified technology needed to help Ukraine assemble Storm Shadow/SCALP cruise missiles domestically.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov responded by accusing Britain of “participating in this war on the side of the Kiev regime” and warning that Russian forces are gathering intelligence on sites involved in producing missiles and other military equipment in Ukraine in order to destroy them.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov also warned last week that Moscow has “every right to regard the proudly proclaimed direct involvement of British missile forces in strikes against Russia as participation in the war, with all the consequences that entails.”
Holocaust survivor: 'We never envisaged Australia would become 1930s Europe'
Rare Lunar Eclipse Tonight
The reddish color of a blood moon is caused by the way sunlight travels through Earth’s atmosphere during the eclipse. Although Earth blocks direct sunlight, some light bends around the planet and reaches the Moon.
Blue wavelengths are scattered away more easily, while red wavelengths pass through the atmosphere and continue toward the lunar surface. This filtered light gives the earth’s satelitte its distinctive reddish appearance during the deepest phase of the eclipse.
Scientific American explains that this process is responsible for the “blood moon” effect often associated with lunar eclipses. The nickname refers only to the temporary color change created by the interaction between sunlight, Earth’s atmosphere and the lunar surface.
Turkey Prepares for ‘Crisis, Tension, and War’
Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler said in a letter to a lawmaker in the country’s parliament dated Aug. 10 that preparations for “possible crisis, tension, and war” in the surrounding region are continuing in close coordination among all relevant state institutions.
The letter was first reported by Nordic Monitor, a news site run by the Stockholm-based Nordic Research and Monitoring Network.
In a striking shift in Ankara’s strategic planning, Güler linked Turkey’s preparations for a potential war to growing concerns over Greece’s expanding military ties with Israel, which Turkish officials are closely watching as a challenge to the country’s security and interests in the Aegean and eastern Mediterranean.
Even without identifying specific agencies or resources, Güler’s language suggests that the preparations extend beyond the military, with multiple state institutions involved in planning for a potentially broad national response to what Ankara appears to view as an increasingly challenging security environment.
The escalation in Ankara’s rhetoric comes amid growing Turkish concern over Greece’s rapid military modernization, including its acquisition of Israeli weapons and air defense systems.
In recent years, Israel and Greece have significantly expanded their defense cooperation through joint military exercises, training, defense technology, and industrial partnerships, with Turkish officials warning that the deepening ties warrant close scrutiny as Ankara assesses their potential impact on its security and regional interests.
At the same time, Turkey is rapidly expanding its naval capabilities, with 47 warships under construction as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan pushes to transform the country into a major regional maritime power — a buildup that is drawing close attention from both Israeli and Greek officials.
In his letter, Güler also noted that shifting dynamics in Turkey’s neighborhood could create new opportunities to advance Ankara’s national interests, though he offered no details on what those opportunities might involve.
On Wednesday, Erdoğan said Turkey must remain strong and united in the face of mounting challenges in the region, warning that Ankara would not be swayed from its course by outside provocations.
“When necessary, we can put everything else aside. But when it comes to our homeland and the future of our state and nation, we bow to no one,” the Turkish leader said in a statement. “In this region, we have no choice but to remain strong, united, and standing together.”
“Those who believe they can halt the progress of Turkey and the Turkish nation through provocations and schemes will be disappointed,” he continued. “We will not change our course or be diverted by the provocations of others.”
For Turkey, the growing Greek-Israeli military partnership is transforming the Aegean dispute into part of a much broader regional security realignment, as Israeli weapons, technology, and strategic cooperation become increasingly embedded in Greece’s military posture while the Turkish-Israeli rivalry intensifies from the eastern Mediterranean to Syria.
According to a recent report by Greek media outlet Pro News, Israel may be even considering scenarios in which a potential confrontation with Turkey could spill into the eastern Mediterranean and involve Cyprus. The report alleges that Israel is weighing possible strikes against Turkish military targets in northern Cyprus if Jerusalem determines that Ankara’s military presence on the island poses a threat to the country’s interests.
CBDCs Controlling the Debt Market
India is preparing to launch its first tokenized corporate bond in September, and this experiment exposes where the digital monetary system is ultimately heading.
The bonds will be issued by REC, a state-owned power financier, in an offering worth less than 5 billion rupees, or approximately $57 million. The amount is small because this is a pilot program, but the structure is far more important than the size. India’s central bank digital currency will be used to purchase the bonds, which means the government is no longer merely testing digital money for ordinary payments. It is connecting CBDCs directly to the creation, ownership, and settlement of debt.
Reuters reports that investors will require two compatible digital accounts: a wholesale CBDC wallet supplied through a bank and a new electronic securities wallet known as DEMAT 2.0.
The bonds will not trade through the conventional electronic book-provider system, and subsequent transactions can occur only between participants who possess both approved wallets. The initial investors will be selected, the bonds will have a three-month lock-in period, and a secondary market is expected to be developed by December. This creates a closed financial network in which the currency, security, investor, transaction, and settlement process are all identifiable and controlled within the same digital infrastructure.
The sales pitch will be efficiency, naturally. Tokenized securities can settle almost instantly. The same infrastructure that can settle a bond instantly can restrict who is permitted to buy it, determine where it may be traded, impose holding periods, monitor every transfer, and prevent capital from leaving the approved system. Once currency and securities exist inside compatible government-supervised wallets, compliance no longer depends on investigating a transaction afterward. The rules can be enforced before the transaction is even allowed to occur.
This is how capital controls will emerge in the modern era. There will be no official standing at the airport asking whether you are carrying gold or cash. The restrictions will be embedded inside the currency itself. A transaction can be rejected because the recipient lacks the proper wallet, the security is outside the approved platform, the funds crossed a prohibited jurisdiction, or the investor exceeded a government-imposed limit. Politicians will claim that this prevents fraud, money laundering, tax evasion, and financial instability, but every authoritarian financial restriction has always been introduced under the pretense of protecting the public.
India is not yet forcing citizens to purchase government debt with digital rupees, and this pilot should not be misrepresented as though that has already occurred. Nevertheless, it demonstrates that the technical bridge between CBDCs and tokenized securities is being constructed now. Once that bridge exists, extending it from voluntary investment to regulatory compulsion requires only a political decision. The technology does not care whether participation is voluntary or mandatory.
India’s experiment should therefore be viewed as far more than a technological modernization of the bond market. It is a model for merging money and debt into one controlled digital ecosystem. The public will be promised speed and convenience, while government acquires the ability to see, approve, restrict, and eventually direct the movement of capital. CBDCs were never necessary simply to buy coffee more quickly. Their real value to government emerges when the state can connect programmable money to the debt it desperately needs someone to purchase.
The Day Everything Stopped:
Geography determines destiny in ways we prefer to ignore during normalcy. Your address right now—those digits you type into delivery apps—represents a complex bet on the continuity of a thousand invisible systems. The water pressure in your pipes assumes functioning pumps. The silence in your refrigerator depends on an uninterrupted flow of electrons from distant generators. The safety of your sleep presumes that thousands of strangers continue showing up to jobs that maintain order.
When those presumptions fail, location ceases to be a lifestyle choice and becomes a survival calculation. Suddenly, proximity to a Costco matters less than distance from the nearest city of fifty thousand souls. The quality of your local restaurant scene becomes laughably irrelevant while the depth of your groundwater table turns existential.
This examination proceeds from a simple premise: societal collapse unfolds as a process, not an event. Understanding that distinction separates viable locations from death traps.
How Systems Actually Die
Catastrophic failure rarely arrives without prelude. Engineers have documented this pattern across infrastructure types—bridges, power grids, supply chains. Small perturbations accumulate. Redundancies erode through budget cuts and deferred maintenance. Then a threshold crosses, and what appeared stable reveals itself as metastable all along.
Consider the empirical markers that precede visible collapse:
- Supply chains develop persistent friction—delays measured in weeks rather than days, stockouts of specific items that never return
- Energy markets exhibit volatility that outpaces historical norms, with price spikes that damage industrial users
- Municipal services grow inconsistent, trash collection slipping, water quality reports becoming unreliable
- Financial instruments that once traded smoothly develop liquidity gaps, buyers disappearing at critical moments
These signals rarely trigger panic individually. Collectively, they represent a system losing coherence. The critical transition occurs not when disruption begins, but when recovery mechanisms fail. Once a society cannot reliably return to baseline after stress, uncertainty becomes the baseline.
Behavioral adaptation follows. Humans require no official announcement to modify their actions. Perception of instability drives preparation, and preparation itself becomes destabilizing. Stockpiling creates shortages. Relocation concentrates pressure. Alternative security arrangements proliferate. Each rational response at the individual level amplifies systemic stress.
The Human Variable: Density as Multiplier
Environmental conditions remain relatively constant during early-stage collapse. Rainfall patterns persist. Soil chemistry changes slowly. Wildlife populations fluctuate seasonally but follow predictable rhythms. What transforms rapidly—and dangerously—is human behavior.
Population density functions as the primary risk amplifier. Urban environments operate as concentration mechanisms, aggregating demand while masking supply vulnerability. A city of one million represents not merely more people than a town of one thousand, but a qualitatively different organizational challenge. The complexity of feeding, hydrating, and pacifying that population requires continuous inputs that cannot pause without catastrophic consequences.
The CBDC Ban Expires with the Economic Confidence Model in 2030
The United States has become the first nation to prohibit its central bank from creating a central bank digital currency, but Congress quietly placed an expiration date on that protection. The prohibition covers both retail and intermediated CBDCs, yet it expires at the end of 2030.
That means the door to a programmable government currency will reopen in 2031, precisely as the Economic Confidence Model reaches its major 2030 turning point.
President Trump prohibited federal agencies from pursuing a CBDC through executive order, and Congress has now reinforced that position legislatively. Nevertheless, executive orders can be reversed by the next president, and the statutory ban was deliberately written to disappear. Governments do not normally surrender power permanently. They postpone unpopular policies until the political and economic conditions make them easier to impose.
The timing is remarkable because the Economic Confidence Model has long pointed to 2030 as a profound turning point in the confidence of government. These dates are not predictions that one isolated event must occur on a specific day. They identify concentrations of political, economic, and monetary stress when capital shifts and confidence changes direction.
The fact that Congress chose the end of 2030 for the expiration of the CBDC ban places this monetary question directly within that critical window.
A CBDC is not merely another electronic payment system. Most money already moves digitally through banks, credit cards, and payment applications. The difference is that a central bank digital currency can create a direct financial relationship between the citizen and the state.
Depending on its design, government could gain the ability to trace transactions, impose expiration dates on money, restrict purchases, enforce negative interest rates, collect taxes automatically, or prevent funds from being transferred beyond approved limits. Physical cash provides privacy and allows people to transact when banks, governments, or computer systems fail. A programmable CBDC transforms money into a permit controlled by the issuer.
The War Cycle began accelerating in August 2026, with the next major geopolitical pressure building into 2027–2029 and a significant risk of conflict involving China appearing in 2029. This then converges with the Economic Confidence Model’s 2030.05 turning point, approximately January 18, 2030, as the Sovereign Debt Crisis intensifies.
Congress allowed the CBDC prohibition to expire on December 31, 2030, meaning a new administration could reopen the door to programmable central-bank money beginning January 1, 2031. War increases borrowing, borrowing accelerates the debt crisis, and collapsing confidence encourages governments to impose surveillance, capital controls, and emergency financial restrictions. By the time this protection expires, the world and government as we know them may be radically altered, creating precisely the kind of crisis politicians will use to resurrect a CBDC in the name of national security and monetary stability.
Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Farmers in America’s Corn Belt Face Worst Crisis in 40 Years
Farmers across America's Corn Belt report that they are facing their most severe economic pressure in four decades, according to an Aug. 25 report from the Financial Times (FT).
The crisis is driven by a surge in diesel and fertilizer costs, which the report attributes to geopolitical tensions stemming from the Trump administration's Iran policy. Grain producers are described as being pushed to the brink by these input cost explosions, with many facing potential default on loans and acreage reduction.
The FT report states that diesel and fertilizer costs have risen sharply, with officials and analysts linking the increase to U.S. military actions in Iran. According to the report, diesel prices have increased by more than 40 percent over the past year, while fertilizer costs have doubled in some regions.
One grower quoted in the FT report said input prices have doubled, forcing him to consider whether he can afford to plant his full acreage this season. The report also notes that the war in the Middle East has compromised the Haber-Bosch process, the chemical reaction that turns natural gas into fertilizer, threatening global agriculture. [1]
Analysts said the ripple effects of the Iran conflict have been devastating for agricultural inputs, as reported by FT. JPMorgan analyst Nora Szentivanyi warned that the next global food crisis could begin as early as next year, adding to the growing voices on institutional desks warning that food inflation is poised to re-accelerate. [2] The sharp swings in oil prices following the latest round of attacks and negotiations over safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz demonstrate that wars do not always reveal themselves first on the battlefield, according to a report by Greg Pence on Antiwar.com. [3]
The crisis has led to reduced planting, lower profit margins and increased debt for Corn Belt producers, according to the Financial Times and industry observers. One Iowa farmer said current conditions resemble the farm crisis of the 1980s, per the report.
Willow Tohi of NaturalNews.com reported that a prominent Georgia farmer cut 45% of his leased acreage due to unsustainable input costs and low commodity prices, with economists warning of a severe cost-price squeeze and projected negative profits per acre for major crops like corn and soybeans. [4] The 2025 U.S. Department of AgricultureCrop Progress report indicated that only 63% of the U.S. corn crop was rated good or excellent, down 4 percentage points from the previous week because of heat and dryness. [5]
Input costs for items such as fertilizer, seed, and machinery remain near record highs, while crop revenues have fallen sharply, according to the report by Willow Tohi. [4] The financial strain has led some producers to abandon land entirely. Just 79.2 million acres of corn were harvested in 2022 – a 1.6-million-acre decline, marking the smallest overall harvest in terms of acres since 2008, according to NaturalNews.com. [6] Vandana Shiva noted that the category of "yield" fails to measure the real costs and real outputs of farming systems, as the so-called high yielding varieties of the Green Revolution are in fact high-response varieties bred for chemicals. [7]