Friday, March 13, 2020

Discerning Reality

Take a Chill Pill and Come Back Tomorrow
Doug Lynn

This is the third Coronavirus article I’ve written in the past month.   The previous piece has become one of my most viewed, perhaps because it took a skeptical view regarding how Coronavirus® had “been reported, coupled with how it’s been handled, its dubious origins, the alleged number of infected and deceased, as well as the age and general health of those who are reported to have died”.


The article, at the same time, allowed for the dangerous reality generated by COVID-19 and, especially, in regards to the reactions the virus has generated. Here are a few examples of those modifiers:
In any event, healthy skepticism is not close-mindedness, per se, because we may one day have a genuine pandemic on our hands.
….However, it could be that everything we’re seeing regarding COVID-19 is real…
… So is COVID-19 real or is it a marketing gimmick?
….Once again, it could be this latest incarnation of coronavirus is a real killer and the mortality rates now being reported are completely bogus.
… to be sure, the public reactions, including within the financial markets, are real.
Although that last article slanted towards my suspicions, it also left some wiggle room if only because COVID-19 is not a hill I’d risk my credibility to die upon. There’s no need and I have nothing personally at stake. Honestly, I’m just an American Nobody playing it like Popeye umpiring a baseball game;

And be assured that one thing is absolutely certain at this point in time:  COVID-19 has obtained near 100% global psychological saturation.  Admittedly, it has become a very big deal.

Certainly, COVID-19 had the entire nation taking precaution last week; and if shelves were cleaned out in states with zerocases at the time, then that was a pretty telling sign of what we are now experiencing:
Panic.
All over the nation, colleges are closing their campuses and migrating classes online.  The state of Washington has banned gatherings more than 250 people in the Seattle areaand airlines are currently running “ghost flights” amid a “coronavirus crisis sales slump”.
Undoubtedly, COVID-19 has gone viral (pun intended) – and especially as an economic Black Swan.
Personally, I had reason and opportunity to fly to the Pacific Northwest this week, spur of the moment, but I chose not to, in part, because of the hysteria. Why take the chance? Even if I survived after getting infected, I still could get caught away from home via canceled flights and other potential societal reverberations.
Therefore, if this skeptical blogger has made decisions like that on the basis of COVID-19, then there is no doubt it COULD become the proverbial pin in the economic, and even civilizational, balloon.
What amazes me about the Kung Flu, however, is how much panic has been generated on the Alternative Internet.  There seems to be a sort of “reverse lottery effect” in effect – like the way people buy tickets because they can’t win if they don’t play and, in so doing, they place their hope in a minuscule percentage of ever winning. Except now with COVID-19, it’s become like: “A 3% mortality rate? That’s still a chance it could happen to me!”

Indeed. The Alternative Internet has generated morbid concern, even especially among the remnant and this should come as no surprise because the Fifth Estate has proven more trustworthy than the corporations comprising the Mainstream Media.  Moreover, it seems we want to believe COVID-19 is an indestructible man-made virus because Wuhan contains biolabs.   And if COVID-19 proves to be the plague of this millennium, then all reporting and the ensuing prohibitive measures will have been justified. However, if Coronavirus® is shown to have been a propagandic psyop, we’ll know it worked because we wanted to believe.


As these words were being typed, the following article had top billing at The Drudge Report:
But if one clicked the link, they’d have read the following:
At the same time, he [Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases] did clarify that 10 times figure actually brings the new coronavirus’ fatality rate lower than official estimates, which hover around 3 percent. The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1 percent, so, when considering the likelihood that there are many asymptomatic or very mild cases that have gone undiagnosed, Fauci places the new coronavirus’ lethality rate at somewhere around 1 percent.
A “lethality rate at somewhere around 1 percent”? But, still, 10 times more lethal than flu!
That’s like they didn’t shoot the sheriff but they shot the deputy.
To be sure, citing statistics is like looking out your window through a straw. You see what you see and miss the rest.
Of those who have ever died from the flu, did 100% of those deceased have the flu? What percentage of the dead were hospitalized, 80%, 90%, 100%? And was it really the flu that killed them or other underlying factors? Was it flu or pneumonia? Because many of the stats (and articles that we read) conflate these. And how many of those hospitalized with pneumonia, survived?

In the same 100,000 population, anyone can pull stats to tell different stories promote various narratives.
But who do we believe and why? Occam’s Razor? Or is nothing as it seems? These are the questions we should constantly be asking ourselves. Now more than ever. Because if I ruled the world I could set it ablaze tomorrow with this headline (and not be lying; it’s new because the name is new):
New FLUMONIA Kills 20%+ of Those Quarantined or Hospitalized
Even award-winning reporter, Sharyl Attkisson, a former Capitol Hill correspondent for CBS News, has tweeted regarding the frail condition of those who have died from COVID-19 in the United States:









As of this writing, there have been 39 deaths in the U.S.; and with most of the fatalities occurring at a nursing home in Washington State.
And, yet, the entire nation has been closed for business.
The NBA has suspended their season and the NCAA has canceled March Madness.   Broadway has shut down all productions and Madison Square Garden could be closed for months. Presidential primary debate venues have been shuffled, campaign rallies have been canceled, and schools are now closed.
Of course, the stated reason for all of these precautions is to “flatten the curve”:








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