A swarm of thousands of tiny earthquakes deep under western Washington, Oregon and British Columbia started again back in October 2020.
These small quakes are happening 40 to 60 miles deep, where the lower slab of the oceanic Juan de Fuca plate moves toward, and eventually is shoved beneath, the continent (North American plate) along the Cascadia Subduction Zone.
What are silent earthquakes?
These small tremors have been called “silent earthquakes,” which have a deep tremor and slow slip. Collectively, they move enough to slightly change the surface of the earth near them. The tiny epicenters pop as that plate slides. They will last for weeks until the event is over.
While most earthquakes are fairly random in time, the tremor runs on a schedule, occurring about every 14 months. The last slow slip event occurred in September 2019.
These silent quakes release the equivalent energy of a magnitude 6 earthquake.
Scientists didn’t even know these slowly evolving quakes existed 20 years ago.
“Maybe 2002, 2003 – that we started realizing that these tremor events take place deep under western Washington,” said University of Washington seismologist and professor emeritus, Steve Malone.
Malone continues to track these events and look at what they could potentially tell us about the giant mega earthquakes that Washington is expected to experience again.
These types of silent quakes are now found around the world, mostly where crustal plates forming ocean floors are pushed under continental crust.
The scientific term for this crustal collision is called subduction. However, if the lower end of the plate moves quietly and unnoticed, the descending ocean plate is not as pliable as it gets closer to the surface. Usually, it is locked, only releasing when enough energy has built up that friction with the continental plate can’t hold it back.
But could silent quakes or deep tremors indicate that a big earthquake is coming, or at least creating a window when it’s more likely?
One theory is that it could add to the pulling force on the locked plate above it, one day triggering a massive quake.
However, there is no clear correlation around the world between deep tremor followed by a massive quake in the subduction zone.
Schmalzle et al., 2014 revealed the locations where the plate is locked (where friction prevents slip between the two plates) along the Cascadia Subduction Zone.
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