“We’ll make a decision on Iran very soon,” he concludes, amid reports of discussions about a resumption of fighting before Israel’s October 27 election and the United States’ November 3 midterm elections.
Trump has made similar comments repeatedly in the past, without following through with renewed strikes.
Last week, he said the US would not attack Iran before the US midterms.
I could be wrong, but at this stage I think that there won’t be any additional airstrikes in Iranian territory until after the midterms.
However, once the midterms are over it appears that the U.S. and Israel intend to absolutely hammer Iran.
The Iranians are fully convinced of this, and according to the Wall Street Journal they are in full war preparation mode…
Iran is fortifying its defenses, rallying loyalists and threatening a wider, harsher response against the U.S. and its Gulf allies as it prepares for potential American attacks after the midterms and seeks to deter them.
Iranian officials have warned publicly and in private conversations with regional officials that the Islamic Republic will respond with further escalation across the Middle East if the U.S. launches new strikes.
If fighting is going to inevitably erupt again, the Iranians don’t just want to absorb strikes and fire off missiles in return.
Instead, they want to go on the offensive.
One of the options that is reportedly being considered is launching “ground incursions into neighboring countries”…
Iran has the largest army in the Middle East by a wide margin.
With reserves, they can muster a force of more than a million fighting men.
That is one of their most important competitive advantages, and they are thinking about using it.
A ground incursion across southern Iraq to grab Kuwait would be an extremely shocking move.
But if the Iranians were to commit a couple hundred thousand troops to such an effort, there wouldn’t be much that Iraq, Kuwait or the U.S. would be able to do about it.
The U.S. has a few thousand Marines in the Middle East, but that wouldn’t be nearly enough to stop an Iranian ground invasion.
The Iranians are also strengthening positions around their most important nuclear sites…
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