As I’ve discussed recently, I believe proxy wars will determine who wins WW3 and gets to shape the new world order.
There are numerous ongoing proxy wars in World War 3.
However, the ones I believe will prove decisive will be in Taiwan, Ukraine, and the Middle East. The others are peripheral in comparison.
I think it’s clear the proxy wars in Ukraine and Taiwan are likely to end in favor of BRICS+.
That’s why I expect NATO & Friends will make their last stand to scuttle the emergence of a multipolar world order and preserve the US-led world order in the Middle East.
The Middle East is on the precipice of its largest war in generations.
The region is roughly divided into two different geopolitical groups.
The first is the US and its allies—Israel, Turkey, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and others.
(Though Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE are members of BRICS+, their true allegiance is with the agenda of NATO & Friends).
The second group describes itself as the Axis of Resistance. It consists of Iran, Syria, the Houthis in Yemen, Hezbollah in Lebanon, several Palestinian groups (including Hamas), and an assortment of militias in Iraq. Russia and China are standing behind the Axis of Resistance.
The region is roughly divided into two different geopolitical groups.
The first is the US and its allies—Israel, Turkey, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, and others.
(Though Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE are members of BRICS+, their true allegiance is with the agenda of NATO & Friends).
The second group describes itself as the Axis of Resistance. It consists of Iran, Syria, the Houthis in Yemen, Hezbollah in Lebanon, several Palestinian groups (including Hamas), and an assortment of militias in Iraq. Russia and China are standing behind the Axis of Resistance.
If there is a regional war in the Middle East, it will undoubtedly be between these two groups.
In the context of World War 3, the US and its allies represent NATO & Friends, and the Axis of Resistance represents BRICS+.
Here is a geopolitical map of the Middle East as I see it (click to enlarge).
Iran is the main sponsor of the Axis of Resistance, and it does not have nuclear weapons.
Unlike in Europe (Russia) or East Asia (China), there is no sophisticated nuclear power to deter NATO & Friends from more aggressive military action in the Middle East. Iran is, therefore, the weak link in the BRICS+ alliance to push for a multipolar world order.
That’s why I expect NATO & Friends will make their last stand to scuttle the emergence of a multipolar world order in the Middle East by trying to neutralize the Axis of Resistance.
Here is a brief overview of where things stand now in various areas of the Middle East. It will help us zoom out and put together the pieces to see the big picture.
Conclusion
...when you take a step back and put it all together, it is clear that the geopolitical momentum is with the Axis of Resistance, which is eroding the power and influence of NATO & Friends in the Middle East.
The situation is trending in favor of the Axis of Resistance and BRICS+. If those trends continue—and I think they will—sooner or later, NATO & Friends must make a fateful decision.
They can either cede the region to BRICS+, which would seal the creation of a multipolar world order, or launch a full-scale war with the Axis of Resistance as a last-ditch Hail Mary attempt to scuttle the emergence of a multipolar world order.
There is no guarantee that NATO & Friends would win such a war. I think it’s likely it would end in disaster for them. That’s probably a big reason it hasn’t happened yet, despite no shortage of hostile intentions.
However, if NATO & Friends feel the sun is about to set on the US-led unipolar world order, they may go for it anyway. That would require them to take a bad hand and double down in a desperate attempt to get even. They may do so if they have nothing to lose, but I doubt it will change the ultimate outcome.
The situation is fluid and volatile. It’s impossible to quantify the conflict precisely.
That being said, when you put everything together, I think there is a good chance that BRICS+ will prevail in the three key proxy wars of WW3—Ukraine, Taiwan, and the Middle East.
Many people will be unprepared for that change of historical significance. However, when you look at the Big Picture, that is where I think we’re headed.
Unfortunately, most people have no idea what really happens when the world order changes, let alone how to prepare…
The coming crisis will likely be much worse, much longer, and very different than what we’ve seen since World War 2.
We’ll likely see entirely new political, social, and economic structures established to replace the crumbling ones from the post-WW2 era.
1 comment:
The author has Turkey on the wrong team. Although a member of NATO, they are threatening to invade Israel, which will happen according to Ezekial 38-39.
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