Anti-Iran Front Crumbles As 'Two-State' Solution Back In Play

Israel hampered in its Iran policy by bitter top-level wrangling

DEBKA

The dissonance among Israel’s leaders, alongside their bombastic solemn pledges against Iran gaining a nuclear weapon, is obstructing clear decisions on three cardinal issues:

1. Whether or not to go along with the deal shaping up between the Biden administration and the Iranian regime headed by President Ibrahim Raisi. In other words, should the four-month-old Bennett government stick to Binyamin Netanyahu’s blanket opposition to any accord with Iran?
2. How close is Iran to becoming a nuclear threshold power?
3. What role do the Abraham Accords serve in the current situation: They were set up as a concerted US-Israel-Gulf Arab front against Iran and its allies, such as Syria. Now, its members are defecting, following Saud Arabia in establishing neighborly relations with Tehran. Could this become a bridge between Tehran and Jerusalem?

These unresolved questions are the subjects of public arguments, political and personal, in the public domain. So who in fact should decide on answers, when the borders among the government’s mostly untried leaders are not clearly defined?

On Oc. 7 DEBKAfile revealed secret talks afoot among the US, Russia, Iran and Israel on a deal for Israel’s acceptance of Iran’s nuclear threshold state in return for US-Russian guarantees against Tehran leaping towards making a bomb. Our sources believed that Prime Minister Naftali Bennett was willing to abandon the taboo his predecessor Netanyahu had exercised against diplomacy with Iran; he appeared to be on the way to seeking the guarantees that were proposed from Washington and at his forthcoming meeting on Oct. 22 with President Vladimir Putin at the Black Sea resort of Sochi.

In private conversation with German Chancellor Angela Merkel during her farewell visit to Israel this week, Bennett affirmed he may be heading down the diplomatic path. This contrasted with his speech on Sept. 27, before the UN General Assembly, when he declared that “Iran’s centrifuges are still spinning” and Israel was determined to stop them even if this meant acting on its own, are having “lost patience” with Iran.

The other event complicating decision-making on Iran in Jerusalem was the setback faced in Washington this week by Yair Lapid, foreign minister and alternate prime minister. He discovered that Israel had missed the train on the Abraham Accords main objective. Whereas they were designed as part of a US-Israel-Gulf Emirates compact at the crux of an anti-Iran front, Lapid discovered that the Biden administration had found another use for this epic event.

The anti-Iran front is crumbling fast. With Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Jordan already on their way to détente with Tehran and its senior ally Syrian President Bashar Assad, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken explained to his Israeli visitor that the Abraham Accords were unrelated to the Iranian issue and must now serve to leverage a two-state solution for the Israel-Palestinian dispute. This was not what Lapid had come to hear. The last thing the inexperienced, hybrid Israel government is ready to face is fresh heat on the divisive Palestinian issue..