We’ve heard for decades that Iran is just a year from having a nuclear bomb. Subterfuge and nuclear pacts may have slowed that advance down, but with no sanctions left in place for a few years now and extremely limited inspections, Iran should have already gotten there. Word on the street this weekend was that Iran is now just two weeks away from having a nuclear weapon.
We might want to take that with a grain of salt, given all the past words that went unfulfilled; however, it seems likely to me that, by now, they probably are just weeks away, given how intensely they obviously want nuclear weapons to have pushed it this hard for this long at such cost to the nation.
So, could these reports increase the likelihood of a major war between Iran and Israel now that things are so close to all-out war between them anyway as a means for bringing a final military solution to Iran’s nuclear threat?...
Israel’s Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant has told US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin,
Time is running out…. Now is the time to realize the commitment of American administrations over the years to prevent Iran from possessing nuclear weapons.
The UN’s nuclear regulator agency agrees on the timing.
The director general of the UN’s nuclear agency has reiterated that the brutal Islamic regime of Iran has “never been closer” to developing a nuclear weapon, an achievement that may be just “weeks” away, the Jerusalem Post reports.
So does the chair of the Nuclear and Radiological Engineering and Medical Physics Program at Georgia Institute of Technology:
“It is, of course, a huge concern,” Biegalski said. “They are clearly staging themselves to reach their goal in one or two weeks without having any significant international sanctions against them….”
The race to the finish line now focuses, not on getting enough weapons-grade enriched uranium, which Bielgalski says they already have more than enough of, but in the final stroke of perfecting a detonation device:
The globally renowned US-based Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) has warned that Iran is spending massive academic research resources on nuclear bomb detonation, the Jerusalem Post reports.
So much for the lie that they were enriching uranium solely for medicinal purposes. That claim was always ludicrous because no medicine requires the high level of enrichment that Iran was already known to be performing.
During an interview with the JPost on Wednesday, ISIS president David Albright said: “If you look at Iranian ‘academic’ studies related to computer modeling, their capabilities are quite significant and relevant to working on codes and simulations that you would need to perform to weaponize a nuclear bomb.”
Sitting on the cusp of major war
So, if Iran does launch a major reprisal against Israel in the event that Gaza cease-fire talks fail—as it has promised it will do—will that reprisal over the recent assassination by Israel on Iranian soil be the Iranian reaction that tips the balance for the US and Israel and perhaps other Western allies to decide its time to wipe out the nuclear threat in Iran once and for all?
How close to D-day will Israel and the West let Iran get if they are given an excuse for all-out military destruction/seizure of Iran’s nuclear facilities now by a major Iranian incursion into Israel?
Have Israel’s assassinations inside Iran been intended to provoke that kind of response from Iran in order to galvanize Israel’s allies into finally doing away with Iran’s nuclear threats because they know Iran is now only weeks away from having the power to annihilate Israel, as it has often threatened to do?
Foreign Minister Israel Katz said earlier Friday in a joint meeting with his British and French counterparts that he expected support in “attacking significant targets” inside Iran if the Islamic Republic strikes Israel.
A Western attempt to destroy Iran’s nuclear power, of course, is fraught with its own enormous perils because you cannot just blow nuclear reactors up or nuclear weapons storage sites without creating nuclear catastrophes in the process. You likely need to seize them and perform a lengthy shutdown, and how do you do that while under fire from Iran’s own military? Does clearing Iran’s military out of the way mean regime change?
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