[The invasion of Israel as described in Isaiah 17 and also referenced in the petition of Psalm 83, includes Israel's surrounding "inner circle", consists of nations and terrorist groups who immediately surround Israel such as Hamas and Hezbollah via Gaza, West Bank, and Lebanon, Syria, and even parts of Egypt and Jordan. Fighters from these areas are already mixed together due to the recent war in Syria. Many of us believe this will be a proxy war for Iran which precedes Ezekiel 38/39, and things are certainly setting up this way:]
Iran has secured a military advantage over the United States and its allies in the Middle East, largely due to its ability to wage war through third parties, a Thursday report said.
Tehran’s use of proxies allows it to fight complex regional struggles while minimizing risk and damage to its own forces, and is more important to Iran than its conventional army, missiles or nuclear program, according to the London-based think tank International Institute for Strategic Studies.
“Iran contests and wins wars ‘fought among the people,’ not wars between states. It avoids symmetrical state-on-state conflict, knowing that it will be outgunned. Instead, it pursues asymmetrical warfare through non-state partners,” said John Chipman, the group’s director.
“No state has been so active, and perhaps as effective, as Iran in regional conflicts in modern times,” the report said.
Its hybrid war strategy involves cooperating extensively with both state and non-state actors.
Iran’s militia forces may count 200,000 fighters, although Tehran exerts varying degrees of control over the different groups.
Its strategy and tactics vary in each country, for example, its use of Hezbollah in Lebanon is different from its use of the al-Quds force in Syria.
The use of non-state actors is well-suited to the modern Middle East, where conflicts are not typically waged by clear-cut state actors, but by an array of local players in weak and divided countries. The region’s wars are largely fought out of sight of international audiences, and are not subject to international law.
Tehran has been developing the system of fighting for 40 years, entrenching itself in fragile neighboring states and often making use of Shia forces that have a connection to Iran.
Its position outside the international community is an advantage, giving it an outsider status that is attractive to minorities, Chipman said.
“Iran’s charisma in the eyes of its partners derives from its survival as an outlaw and alternative. While inclusion in the international order would have economic benefits for Tehran, it would require constraints to be placed on the remote warfare capability of the Quds Force. Iran and the Quds Force cannot be both revolutionary and part of the international order,” he said.
The international community has not found an effective counter to the strategy, since conventional military power is ineffective against the Iranian-linked non-state actors.
The lackluster international response, especially from the US, has spurred Israel and Sunni Arab states to respond themselves to the threat from Tehran.
Bashar Assad’s survival was a priority for Iran because Syria gives Tehran better access to Israel and Jordan, and aids its efforts in Iraq, the report said.
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