RT
Iranian leaders emphasize their commitment to maintaining diplomatic and economic ties with the new administration in Damascus. However, there are growing concerns in Tehran that the new Syrian authorities, eager to restore relations with the Arab nations and the West, may distance themselves from Iran. Furthermore, Iranian officials fear that certain opposition groups could openly oppose the presence of Iranian forces and the country’s overall influence, which would undermine Iran’s position in the region.
These doubts are fueled by the fact that many key players within the Syrian opposition have strong ties to the US, Saudi Arabia, and Türkiye – countries that have traditionally resisted Iranian influence. Tehran does not rule out the possibility that, as the opposition comes to power, Syria could become a staging ground for containing Iran, which would complicate the situation further.
Nonetheless, Iran plans to leverage its economic, cultural, and religious ties to strengthen its foothold in Syria. Tehran may offer new forms of cooperation focused on infrastructure development and post-conflict reconstruction to maintain its influence. However, Iranian experts believe that the new Syrian leadership will be cautious about cooperating with Iran, and will aim to avoid dependency on any single power.
The future of Iran-Syria relations in this new reality remains uncertain. Tehran will need to adapt to the shifting geopolitical dynamics and seek ways to preserve its influence, especially as traditional means of leverage may prove insufficient.
The dawn of a new era for Syria is bound to impact Middle Eastern geopolitics at large, including Iran’s foreign policy. With its deep historical, religious, and cultural ties to Syria, Tehran needs to recalibrate its strategy to align with the changing reality. This moment marks the beginning of a new chapter in Iran’s long-standing foreign policy history, which has always been closely tied to regional events. Having played a prominent role in the Syrian conflict, Iran now finds itself at a crossroads: it must either reconsider its influence in Syria or risk losing this strategic ally.
The situation in Syria is a turning point for the country, and it is compelling Iran to reassess its traditional approaches to foreign policy. First and foremost, Tehran must explore new tools and means of influence, including economic partnerships, cultural diplomacy, and assistance in rebuilding the war-torn nation. Additionally, Iran may seek to strengthen ties with other regional allies to offset potential losses. This will require flexibility and a willingness to make compromises.
On the other hand, this new era also opens up opportunities for Iran. The change of power in Syria could offer a chance to establish more balanced relationships, grounded not just in military cooperation but also in mutually beneficial economic projects. Such an approach could bolster Iran’s image as a nation committed to stability in the region, especially in light of increasing pressure from the West and Arab states.
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