Sunday, August 11, 2024

Israeli intel believes Iran will attack directly within days


Israeli intel believes Iran will attack directly within days
J Post


This represents a shift from recent assessments, which suggested that international pressure was restraining Iran from launching a direct attack against Israel.


Iran might carry out an attack on Israel in the coming days, potentially even before the upcoming Thursday summit on the hostage deal negotiations, according to two sources familiar with the matter.

This represents a shift from recent assessments, which suggested that international pressure was restraining Iran from launching a direct attack against Israel.

The most recent evaluation by the Israeli intelligence community, formed within the past 24 hours, indicates that Iran has decided to directly target Israel in retaliation for the assassination of Hamas Political Bureau Chief Ismail Haniyeh.



The sources noted that this marks a significant change from recent assessments, which suggested that international pressure was preventing Iran from executing a direct strike against Israel.

A source with knowledge of the situation revealed that in recent days, there has been an internal debate in Iran between the Revolutionary Guards and the new Iranian president and his advisors. The debate centers on the nature and timing of the response to Haniyeh's assassination. The Revolutionary Guards have been advocating for a more severe and widespread response than the April 13 attack, while the president and his advisors believe that such a harsh response should be avoided.

Another source familiar with the situation said that the situation "remains fluid," with the internal debate in Iran ongoing, which means that Iranian decision-making could still change.





Israel is preparing for escalation, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant on Sunday told new soldiers who enlisted in the Kfir and Nahal Brigades.

"Our enemies from Iran and Hezbollah are threatening to harm us in ways they haven't attempted before, but those who try will face a response from us like never before. We have significant capabilities, and I hope they will reconsider and not trigger a war on additional fronts," Gallant said.

He also added, "I hope they will carefully consider their actions and avoid causing us to do things that would lead to significant harm and increase the likelihood of a war breaking out on additional fronts. These are things we do not want, but we must be prepared for them as they could happen."




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