Sunday, December 19, 2021

By The Numbers: Omicron

Omicron Today



Below are five articles that stand out as being among the most important regarding Omicron this week.


Epidemiological characterisation of the first 785 SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant cases in Denmark, December 2021

Published in: Eurosurveillance  Volume 26, Issue 50, 16/Dec/2021

Denmark, as of December 9, 2021. Denmark has one of the highest RT-PCR testing capacities in the world and screens all positive RT-PCR tests with an Omicron-specific PCR – allowing screening for Omicron.

There have been 785 SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant cases identified in Denmark. The earliest Omicron cases in Denmark occurred before South Africa announced the emergence of this variant. Most cases were fully (76%) or booster-vaccinated (7.1%); 34 (4.3%) had a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection. The majority of cases with available information reported symptoms (509/666; 76%) and most were infected in Denmark (588/644; 91%).

One in five cases cannot be linked to previous cases, indicating widespread community transmission.

Nine cases have been hospitalized, one required intensive care and no deaths have been registered.

Highlights:

·      1.2% of cases have been hospitalized

·      0.3% in intensive care

·      0% deaths.

·      83% were fully or booster vaccinated, 17% not vaccinated (including 2.6 vaccine started)

·      4.3% had previous SARS-CoV-2 infection

·      91% have no travel history, 9% reported travel

My take: this study is important because although there are studies and spokespeople from South Africa stating similar results, the Danish population in terms of age, body weight, life expectancy, etc. is more similar demographically to the US population. This Danish study suggests that Omicron will affect the American population similarly.

Covid-19: Runny nose, headache, and fatigue are commonest symptoms of omicron, early data show

Published in: BMJ 2021; 375 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n3103 (16 December 2021)

This College of London study shows that the top five symptoms reported for omicron infection are runny nose, headache, fatigue (either mild or severe), sneezing, and sore throat.  This study is in line with what the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the World Health Organization, and European countries such as Spain and France had all updated their advice. The authors recommend that the National Health Service should also amend their advice on Omicron.

This study is important because it is more evidence that 1) symptoms are more mild and 2) more evidence that Omicron has evolved to infect the upper respiratory system more readily than the lower respiratory tissue (see my earlier substack article on this topic).


More...


LEAKED: Fauci, NIH Head Planned 'Devastating Takedown' of Non-Compliant Physicians

Renee Nal

Powerful bureaucrats sought to squash those who promoted alternatives to the government’s tyrannical coronavirus lockdown strategy. 

Outgoing National Institutes of Health Director Francis Collins lamented that the Great Barrington Declaration was getting “a lot of attention”. “There needs to be a quick and devastating takedown of its premises,” the NIH Leader told his colleagues Lawrence TabakCliff Lane and Anthony Fauci in an email from October, 2020.

For those who are not familiar, the Great Barrington Declaration sought to end coronavirus lockdowns, opting for an approach they dubbed “Focused Protection,” which would aspire to achieve “herd immunity” while protecting the most vulnerable. Not unlike the Rome Declaration, the GB Declaration recognized that combatting the coronavirus needed a strategy that did not do more harm than good.

But Francis Collins did not care about the merit of the “Focused Protection” approach. He sought only to crush dissent. As Senior Writer at Real Clear Investigations Mark Hemingway observed in light of the email leak: 

They were more worried about stopping different opinions than the virus.

The emails were discovered by Phillip W. Magness, PhD, the Interim Director of Research & Education at the American Institute for Economic Research (AIER). Magness is known in part for his book The 1619 Project: A Critique.

Read the whole thread here.

The three “fringe epidemiologists” disparaged by Collins are:

  • Dr. Martin Kulldorff, professor of medicine at Harvard University, a biostatistician, and epidemiologist with expertise in detecting and monitoring infectious disease outbreaks and vaccine safety evaluations.
  • Dr. Sunetra Gupta, professor at Oxford University, an epidemiologist with expertise in immunology, vaccine development, and mathematical modeling of infectious diseases.
  • Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, professor at Stanford University Medical School, a physician, epidemiologist, health economist, and public health policy expert focusing on infectious diseases and vulnerable populations.

Fauci dutifully responded to Collins with a Wired piece by the renowned scientist (or not) and climate striker Matt Reynolds that Fauci claimed “debunks” the Great Barrington Declaration, and further with an article that he claimed refuted the “herd immunity approach”.

Days after the email exchange, Francis Collins was quoted in the Washington Post denigrating the Great Barrington Declaration:

What I worry about with this is it’s being presented as if it’s a major alternative view that’s held by large numbers of experts in the scientific community. That is not true,’ Collins, NIH director, said in an interview.

‘This is a fringe component of epidemiology. This is not mainstream science. It’s dangerous. It fits into the political views of certain parts of our confused political establishment,’ he said. ‘I’m sure it will be an idea that someone can wrap themselves in as a justification for skipping wearing masks or social distancing and just doing whatever they damn well please.’

“Critics of Focused Protection say the idea is impractical, unethical and potentially deadly,” the Washington Post ominously warned

“So now I know what it feels like to be the subject of a propaganda attack by my own government. Discussion and engagement would have been a better path,” said Great Barrington Declaration author Dr. Jay Bhattacharya upon seeing the leaked email.

Francis Collins and Anthony Fauci received nationwide attention for their role in forwarding Gain of Function research. The taxpayer funded research is likely what led directly to the pandemic.

To date, the Great Barrington Declaration has been signed by over 830k people, including tens of thousands of healthcare professionals.

 

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