Sunday, April 5, 2020

Early Models Overestimated Hospitalizations, ICU Beds, Ventilators By Gross Margins


LATEST NUMBERS: Govt. Models Overestimated Hospitalizations by 8 Times; ICU Beds by 6.4 Times; Ventilators Needed by 40.5 Times





This is quite stunning.
The government models used to predict the extent of the coronavirus pandemic are off by huge margins in the latest coronavirus tracking numbers.

The current government predictions reported by Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/ ) for Apr 5th show:
– All beds needed: 179,267
– ICU beds needed: 33,176
– Invasive ventilators: 26,544
Those were the predictions.
The actual numbers as recorded at The Covid Tracking Project:
– Actual hospitalizations: 22,158
– In ICU: 5,207
– On ventilator: 656

This is a complete failure of estimates and models.


The actual numbers show:
– Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times
– Overestimation of of ICU beds needed: 6.4 times
– Overestimation of ventilators needed: 40.5 times
This is completely unacceptable.
At this time in history and with the technology in place it is absolutely shocking that this could happen...

Millions of Americans will lose their jobs due to these panic-driven lockdowns.
The first people to be fired should be the ones who drove this panic!


1 comment:

Mrs.C said...

OT- It used to take an hour to bake a potato in the oven....now folks stand in front of a microwave and yell at it for taking so much time. Folks complain there's never enough time to get things done...for the moment, they have the time & now complain about that. The Lord has Blessed us with time to reflect,to use for good...

"Life isnt about waiting for the storm to pass...

Its about learning to dance in the rain"