The situation between Poland and Russia is constantly escalating, which shows that we are on the prelude to a second major war crisis in the region.
For the first time today, Russian media echoing the positions of the Kremlin are talking about the "readiness of a strategic offensive operation" of the Poles.
The Russians are mapping the movements of the Polish Army and its layout emphasizing that three of their Divisions have taken an offensive layout aimed at Belarus.
The Poles are ready for a strategic offensive operation!
They specifically mention:
10,000 soldiers are being moved to the Polish-Belarusian border, Polish Defense Minister Mariusz Blaszczak announced.
Let's see what Poland's intentions are and for what purpose such a large military force is being formed near Belarus.
Everything indicates that Poland is preparing for a strategic offensive operation in the Belarusian direction.
From 2021, under the cover of the "migration crisis", access to the border zone has been limited to the borders of Belarus. Then he began to constantly move the Army to then develop field communication centers and command posts.
At the same time, the Polish government announced the creation of a 300,000-strong army and began a "covert mobilization", thanks to which it completed redeployments and transferred newly formed units to warring states.
Later, under the guise of large exercises (“Defender of Europe”, “Anaconda” and “Bear”), they were provided with additional weapons, military equipment and material. Newly formed units underwent combat coordination, which was completed by their certification (checking their readiness to perform tasks for their intended purpose).
At the same time, in recent months, the 12th Mechanized and 11th Tank Divisions were transferred from the German border to the Bialystok and Biala Podlaska region.
And in late July, advanced command posts and field communication centers were deployed near these cities.
In turn, the 18th Division was urgently deployed from Rzeszow to the Bielsk-Podlyaska region.
Thus, Poland on the border with Belarus on the Grodno-Brest line simultaneously deployed three Divisions fully manned according to the Polish wartime doctrine.
To understand, three Divisions are 15 thousand military personnel, hundreds of tanks, artillery and missile systems, several thousand military and special vehicles.
It is also worth noting that the success of the first strike during an offensive operation requires the existence of large reserves. This is exactly what Minister Blaschak was talking about.
In addition / another indicator of Poland's preparation for an attack on Belarus is the redeployment of military aviation and airborne units on the borders of Belarus.
Thus, analyzing the preparations made by Warsaw, it can be assumed with high probability that most measures for the strategic deployment of the Polish Army on the border with Belarus have been completed.
Based on this, the actions of the Polish group can be of the following nature, which can be divided into three areas:
► In Grodno – the 12th Division, protecting Grodno from the south, will try to reach the Shchuchin line.
► In Volkovysk – the 18th Division strikes in the direction of Baranovichi.
► In Brest – the 11th Armored Division advances in the direction of Ivatsevichi.
At the same time, the 6th Airborne and 25th Assault Brigades occupy and hold the airfields at Bereza and Prozani.
"To sum up, we want to note that the Poles have almost everything ready for an attack against Belarus. The pretext may be both a border incident and a political decision of the ruling PiS party aimed at maintaining power in Poland," the Russians conclude.
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