Friday, August 23, 2013

Evening Update: Syria Headed Towards Escalation

The situation in Syria continues to receive a lot of attention in the news, as it appears that the U.S. is about to become involved in a big way. If that happens, Russia will escalate things to the next step, whatever that may be. The whole chemical weapons charge against the Syrian government is looking more and more like a false flag to the Russians, but again, in the world in which "perception = reality", the truth may not matter. There have also been articles which seem to give evidence that Assad's forces did use chemical weapons. 

Currently rumors and misinformation are being circulated, so the truth is elusive. Below are the stories in circulation, and the first two give us Russia's perspective which seems important in trying to predict what their next move will be, if indeed the U.S. increases involvement.

Moscow continues to monitor closely the event surrounding the“alleged”  chemical attack near Damascus, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman, Aleksandr Lukashevich, said in a statement.

“We’re getting more new evidence that this criminal act was of a provocative nature,” he stressed. “In particular, there are reports circulating on the Internet, in particular that the materials of the incident and accusations against government troops had been posted for several hours before the so-called attack. Thus, it was a pre-planned action.”

Below are the three videos posted on Youtube said to be showing the child victims affected by chemical weapons near Damascus. Despite the date of the alleged attack – August 21 – being mentioned in their titles, they were posted on YouTube one the previous day, August 20. 

The reports of massive chemical attacks in Syria might become the “red line” for the US for active military intervention. But even rudimentary analysis of the story shows it is too early to believe its credibility.
The Middle Eastern newspaper, Al Arabiya, reports that “At least 1,300 people have been killed in a nerve gas attack on Syria’s Ghouta region, leading opposition figure George Sabra said on Wednesday…” The paper went on to claim that the Government of President Bashar al Assad was responsible for the attacks. If confirmed it could be the “red line” that US President Obama previously stated would tip the US into active military intervention in Syria, using No Fly Zones and active military steps to depose Assad.
That in turn could erupt into a conflagration across the Middle East and a Super Power confrontation with Russia and China and Iran on one side, and the USA, UK, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Qatar on the opposite side. Not a happy prospect for world peace at all.   
Therefore the story is worth analyzing carefully. When we do, several things jump out as suspicious. First the newspaper breaking the story was Al Arabiya, initially saying that at least 500 people have been killed, according to activists. From there it got picked up by major international media. Making the story more fishy by the minute were reports from different media of the alleged number of dead that changed by the minute - 635 then to 800 by USA Today and 1,300 by Rupert Murdoch’s SkyNews. 

The story gets even murkier. Further in the text of the article we read that the “Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said dozens of people were killed, including children, in fierce bombardment.” Now the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR) has been the source of every news report negative against the Syrian Assad government since the war began in 2011. More curious about the humanitarian-sounding SOHR is the fact, as uncovered by investigative journalists, that it consists of a sole Syrian refugee who has lived in London for the past 13 years named Rami Abdul Rahman, a Syrian Sunni muslim who owns a clothing shop and is running a Twitter page from his home. Partly owing to a very friendly profile story on the BBC, he gained mainstream media credibility. He is anything but unbiased.
The other aspect of the suspicious reports is the “convenient” fact they coincide with the arrival two days earlier of an official UN weapons inspection team, allowed by the government, to investigate allegations of chemical weapons use in the Syrian war. It begs the most obvious question: What conceivably would Bashar al Assad stand to gain from using banned chemical weapons just at the time he has agreed to let a UN chemical weapons team into Syria? 

They initially were called to investigate evidence of any chemical weapons used in a March 19 attack in Khan al-Assad and in two other locations. In May, Carla Del Ponte, a member of the UN Independent Commission of Inquiry on Syria, said that testimony gathered from casualties and medical staff in Syria indicated that the nerve agent sarin was used by rebel fighters. They found no evidence of use by Government forces. That proved highly embarrassing to the faction of war hawks in the Pentagon and State Department, agitating for Obama to escalate direct military intervention including a no-fly zone, de facto an act of war against Assad’s regime. In 2012 Obama declared that the use of chemical weapons by the Syrian President would cross a “red line” and change US calculations on whether or not it should intervene in the conflict.

Finally, the region reported to be the site of the poison gas attack by Assad forces, Eastern Ghouta, was re-secured from the Al-Qaeda-affiliated Jabhat al-Nusra jihadist terrorists, by Government troops in May as part of a major series of rollback victories against the insurgent forces and is not currently a scene of any major resistance to Assad forces.  

Earlier today, in "US Refines "Military Options" Ahead Of Syrian Strikes", we reported on what we thought was now inevitable especially since it was in agreemenet with what we predicted with absolute certainty over a month ago in "US Prepares For "Kinetic Strikes" Against Syria."  There we said: "The pre-story here is well-known to most: in a repeat fabulation of the Iraq "WMD" lie, the US and the entire developed world "found" Syria to have crossed a red-line when it used chemical weapons, despite subsequent reports that it was the Syrian rebels, aka Qatari mercenaries, who were the party responsible for chemical weapon use. No matter though: the public media campaign was hatched, and merely waited for the catalyst. That catalyst may be imminent..."

Sure enough, a month later the convenient catalyst emerged when this Wedensday, despite the entire world watching Assad (and as Iraq WMD inspector Rolf Ekeus stating the obvious in  "It would be very peculiar if it was the government to do this at the exact moment the international inspectors come into the country"), we are meant to believe that the Syrian leader launched the biggest nerve gas attack in the history of the Qatari, Al-Qaeda and CIA-funded and organized Syrian rebellion. Two days later, without any actual investigation, the west determined somehow, on its own, that the attack was launched by Assad, not a false flag attack by the rebels even though it was their chemical weapons depot that had been previously uncovered. Visions of Colin Powell lying to the world (with his former aide admittingyears later the WMD speech was the "lowest point in my life") should now be emerging right before your eyes.

Moments ago the inevitable denouement arrived when as CBS' David Martin reports, the US is preparing for a cruise missile launch against Syria, and is further ordering warships closer to Syria to be prepared and ready for when the trigger is pulled.

BREAKING. @CBSNews has learned that the Pentagon is making the initial preparations for a Cruise missile attack on Syrian government forces

BREAKING. @CBSDavidMartin: US naval commander orders warships to move closer to Syria to be ready for possible Cruise missile strike.

Also see:

These days and weeks of bloody struggle in Egypt have implications that go far beyond the country and the region.
The conflict between the Muslim Brotherhood and its opponents will determine whether an Islamic terrorist group will run Egypt.

Forgotten in all the Arab Spring cheerleading is the simple fact that the Muslim Brotherhood is a terrorist group. And not only is it a terrorist group but it is the single most influential Sunni Islamic terrorist group in the world, spawning entire networks of terrorist organizations; including Al Qaeda.

The clash between the Egyptian military and the Muslim Brotherhood is at the heart of the War on Terror. Al Qaeda may often be associated with Saudi Arabia, but its real roots lie closer to Egypt.

The Arab Spring helped complete the realignment of Al Qaeda’s objectives. It became what its Egyptian faction of Muslim Brotherhood activists had always wanted it to be; a force for helping them take over entire countries, rather than aimlessly bombing Western targets.

The Muslim Brotherhood’s defeat has damaged the group’s morale by hitting its sense of historical inevitability. It is a long way from being destroyed, but if it suffers a series of defeats in Egypt, Syria and beyond, it will lose members and momentum. And the Brotherhood’s loss will also be Al Qaeda’s loss.


David said...

If we hit Syria with the million dollar a pop cruise missile(s) you can bet that in and of itself WILL be the catalyst for Russia and its allies to engage us. And based on the chatter from some in the spec.ops. community, that's exactly what is about to go down. And guess what folks? All eyes are on the crisis in Syria and Egypt, which leaves Iran spinning uranium like its cotton candy. We will soon find ourselves yet again, in multiple campaigns. That might as well be the crashing point for the bulls Stephen?

Stephen said...

I wish I could say that it is...
but I am afraid that EWI counts
as stated in the last 48 HOURS
have another WEEK OF RALLY ahead
of them.

the current number 2 UP needs more
work on the upside. IF THIS indeed
is a number two up, just be patient,
it will happen, let the waves play out.

and not yet.

bulls still have tHE UPPER HAND here.

spx 1685

that is the number I am looking
at......a rally to that level
would fill an OPEN chart gap
and allow for a decent number
2 UP.

then one could MAKE THE CASE
that we will have a 3 crash.
( and only GOD knows what could
happen then, it will NOT be pretty)

it may take only a few days,
MON, TUES should be revealing.

but right now I am afraid
the bulls will win, short term.

Stephen >>>>>>>>>>

Stephen said...

In any case, this will be a big mistake, US doing the cruise missiles.

this is not Iraq, Hanoi or Kabul.

This is Syria....

IF the US does this, I have NO OTHER choice but to conclude that WW 3 is here.


do you really think Putin is going to sit on his BUTT and let this
happen ??


no way

He has an obligation to protect
Assad going back to SEP 1980.

I have an OLD ARTICLE that proves my house from 1980.


IF the US does something stupid.

Stephen >>>>>>>>>>>>

Mrs.C said...

What does Gods Word say about all this? There will be NO so called "WW3" until the second half of the Trib, and we His Bride, His Church will NOT go through the Trib.

Where is the U.S. in all this? VERY, VERY sadly, NO WHERE.Israel will be alone, and will be severely wounded. The U.S. is no where in Gods Word, with the Isaiah 17 war, OR the Ezekiel 38-39 war/invasion of Israel by Russia.God Bless and protect all those Men & Women serving this great nation, who are being led by a naive, rooky, evil, coward in chief...

Stephen said...

But Mrs. C >>>>>

David said above that Russia will engage us...does that NOT mean WW3 ??

I would think it would...........

please explain

Stephen >>>>>>>>>>>>

David said...

My take on that Stephen is this: if we step in with a hands on approach in Syria because of the chemical WMD used on its civilian population, I feel, and this comes from my personal experience from been there, done that, and got the scars to prove it.I feel Russia will actively fire on our middle east presence. Meaning our ships, planes, and personnel, in that region. Not here in the US. Mrs.C is right! (As usual) We won't be here for WWIII or the revelation of the anti-christ. Again, I do think we will have break out sessions and firefights with Russia and its allies, if we choose to hit Syria. Putin's pledge of allegiance to the axis of evil would be compromised severely if he didn't respond. Both sides now have a massive presence in the region..

My own personal opinion is that when Israel is divided, and given away, that will start Armageddon, but by that time we will be out of here. I'm sitting on the edge of my seat as all this unfolds.

David P.