Summary
US pressed Iran to stop all Iranian enrichment for 20 years, after which Iran countered less than ten years, at which point the weekend negotiations broke down (Axios). Still, mediators say 'door not closed' on pursuit of an agreement.
Iran's military says the US blockade on Gulf ports, now in effect, is an "illegal" act tantamount to "piracy" as Trump is also weighing limited strikes on Iran. Trump warns Iranian fast boats to be 'eliminated'.
US military says it is enforcing the blockade in the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea, Reuters reports. No major incidents or acts of aggression reported, hours into US operation.
Pundits review breakdown of Pakistan talks, where the "gaps were enormous" - and yet Iran's FM says the sides were "inches away" from an "Islamabad MoU".
Israel-Hezbollah fighting persists on eve of planned Tuesday talks in Washington between Israeli and Lebanese officials.
Mediators Still Press For Iran Deal After US Demanded 20-Year Halt To Nuclear Program
On Monday a US official has been cited in Axios as saying Iran must halt its nuclear enrichment program for 20 years to end the war, scaling back from an earlier White House demand for a permanent end to enrichment. And that's when sources say the Iranians countered with a shorter "single digit" period, or less than ten years.
Multiple Middle Eastern countries are still working to mediate a resolution, as both Washington and Tehran moved away from maximalist positions on enrichment. Before the talks, Trump demanded a permanent halt, while Iran pushed for a deal allowing a civilian nuclear program without additional restrictions. Axios has further said the "door is not closed" on a deal, but certainly the two sides' are still far apart, with Tehran accusing Washington of inexplicably reverting to intolerable "maximalist demands."
At Least 15 US Navy Ships Enforce Blockade
The Wall Street Journal has newly detailed that more 15 American warships are now in place to support the operation, in the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. The report further specified that "An advisory to mariners from U.K. Maritime Trade Operations, which is affiliated with Britain's Royal Navy, said maritime-access restrictions were being enforced for Iranian ports and coastal areas along the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman and parts of the Arabian Sea.
"Any vessel entering or departing the blockaded area without authorization is subject to interception, diversion, and capture," a notification from US Central Command (CENTCOM) has said. And UKMTO has warned maritime traffic, "These access restrictions apply without distinction to vessels of any flag engaging with Iranian ports, oil terminals, or coastal facilities." Trump boasts the following on Monday:
Trump: Iranian Ships Coming Near Blockade Will Be Eliminated
The Trump-ordered US military blockade of the Hormuz Strait has gone into effect as of early evening local time (and 10am in the US), and Trump soon after issued the below Truth Social message warning that if any of Iran's ships - which he says at this point are merely small 'fast attack ships' - come "anywhere close to our blockade, they will be immediately eliminated." He described this will be "the same system of kill that we use against the drug dealers" - in reference to the Caribbean and prior Venezuela operations.
The US Navy is said to be operating from the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea while enforcing it. Within the first couple hours of it being in place, there have been no initial reported hostile incidents. In effect a standoff is ensuing.
As a reminder, after the earlier CENTCOM announcement of the blockade plans, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf on Sunday had declared, "enjoy the current pump figures," adding that "with the so-called ‘blockade,’ Soon you'll be nostalgic for $4–5 gas."
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