Friday, September 6, 2024

Understanding Israel's Philadelphi Corridor Conundrum


ISRAEL KASNETT


Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, visibly frustrated and at times even rightfully furious, addressed a hostile foreign press Wednesday evening, condemning defeatist elements who advocate for Israel's withdrawal from the Philadelphi Corridor--a move demanded by Hamas, the international community, some of the prominent leftist representatives in Israel's political and defense establishments, and a minority of Israeli civilians.  

Clearly under pressure from the international community to leave the corridor, Netanyahu warned repeatedly during the press conference that such a retreat would enable Hamas to maintain power and smuggle in weapons, preventing the demilitarization of Gaza and posing a grave threat to Israel's security.

National Unity Party leader Benny Gantz and Knesset member Gadi Eisenkot held their own press conference on Tuesday evening, accusing Netanyahu of obstructing a potential hostage deal with Hamas. They also disputed his stance that Israel should maintain control of the Philadelphi Corridor. 

But many Israelis believe this type of thinking is misguided and part of the failed "conceptzia" (governing assumptions) that preceded the Oct. 7 attacks.

As Gallant, Gantz and Eisenkot, as well as opposition leader Yair Lapid, have demonstrated in recent days, they and other high-ranking political and military figures still hold on to these defeatist views. 

According to Enia Krivine, senior director for the Foundation for Defense of Democracies' Israel Programs and National Security Network, "Since day one of the war there has been tension between two of the primary war goals--to bring the hostages back and dismantle Hamas."

Some in Israel's political and military echelon, said Krivine, "have decided that bringing the hostages home alive has become the paramount war goal and that this moral imperative supersedes the other two goals," she said. 

Thousands of Israelis siding with this view are currently demonstrating against Netanyahu, accusing him of obstructing a hostage deal.

Netanyahu has been criticized by Israelis on the right for not entering Rafah sooner and taking control of the Philadelphi Corridor immediately after the initial military invasion of Gaza on Oct. 27.

Now that Israeli forces are there, Israelis on the left want Netanyahu to withdraw them to facilitate a deal to get more hostages released. 

But many experts, including Krivine and former Israeli National Security Adviser Meir Ben-Shabbat, agree with Netanyahu that contrary to what some Israeli defense officials believe, Israel will not be able to easily return to the corridor once it withdraws, as the international community will place heavy pressure on Jerusalem to keep it from doing so. 

"There are those who believe that we can temporarily relinquish control--for 42 days--until the first phase of the deal is completed, and then, if the deal does not progress, return and regain control of the area," said Ben-Shabbat.

"Of course, the IDF has the ability, operationally, [to] reoccupy this corridor even after 42 days, but it's not just a matter of military capability," he added. "Everyone understands that once we leave, Israel will face immense diplomatic pressure from the U.S. and other countries not to return."

Ben-Shabbat warned that since we are in the final stretch before the U.S. elections, the expected American pressure "will be extremely heavy."

"The legitimacy Israel had to occupy this corridor following Oct. 7 will not exist after we leave it," he said. 

Krivine agreed, saying Israel "would not have the legitimacy or the support necessary to accomplish this; not from the United States, not from Egypt and not from the international community."

Part of the reason for Israel's insistence, she told JNS, is because the third primary goal of the war is "to make sure that Hamas can no longer pose a threat to Israel."

Part of the confusion leading up to the press conference was that Netanyahu seems to now be saying he does not intend to withdraw from the Philadelphi Corridor, but media outlets had reported that he had agreed to withdraw from parts of the corridor that are heavily populated, in the second phase of a proposed ceasefire deal.

Netanyahu clarified on Wednesday that Israel would be willing to withdraw if a suitable foreign entity is found that is able to properly monitor the border and prevent smuggling there.

It is worth mentioning that the European Union Border Assistance Mission (EUBAM) was supposed to monitor the Rafah border after Israel's disengagement from Gaza, but in 2007, after Hamas took over, EUBAM officials simply ran away, fearing for their own security.

Israel is not interested in, nor can it afford, a repeat of such a scenario.




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