Tuesday, April 6, 2021

Rumors Of War: Around The World

Rumors of War - Will The US Help Ukraine If Russia Invades?

Could this be the spark that causes World War 3 to erupt?  At this hour, Russian and Ukrainian military forces continue to rush toward the conflict zone, and to say that things are "tense" in the region would be a tremendous understatement.  

When Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed Decree No. 117/2021 on March 24th, it was essentially a declaration of war against Russia.  Since that time, Russian forces have been massing along the borders in numbers that we have never seen before.  Video after video of Russian tanks, military vehicles and troops being moved toward the conflict zone have been posted on social media, and the Ukrainians have responded by making similar moves.  But if the Russians launch a full-blown invasion, the Ukrainians will be totally outmatched, and they will ask the United States and NATO to intervene.

In addition, the EU is accusing Russia of initiating "a conscription campaign in the Crimea peninsula"...

The European Union said Russia had launched a conscription campaign in the Crimea peninsula in a move that broke international law.

The EU said in a statement: "Today, the Russian Federation has launched yet another conscription campaign in the illegally-annexed Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol to draft residents of the peninsula in the Russian Federation Armed Forces."

These are very alarming developments, because they indicate that the Russians and the separatists in eastern Ukraine believe that an extended military conflict is approaching.






 TYLER DURDEN



New legislation being considered that would radically alter current Japan Coast Guard policy toward how it engages foreign vessels in Japan's waters could inadvertently hurl the region toward a hot conflict involving China

The new proposed law comes at a moment of more frequent and heightened incidents between Chinese and Japanese vessels around the contested Senkaku islands near Taiwan (and which happen to also be claimed as Taiwan's). Currently Japan doesn't have a mechanism which would activate its Self-Defense Forces in any entanglement with Chinese fishermen landing on the islands, which might escalate to involve Chinse military patrols. 

But that could change, especially after Beijing recently allowed its own coast guard to be militarized at a moment it attempts to stave off regional rivals' claims to islands in the East and South China Seas. Tokyo is preparing to beef up is own ability for an immediate and rapid response, as Nikkei details of the new legislation"The Japanese government says the Police Duties Execution Act allows ships to fire on vessels to halt an unauthorized landing," Further it explains, "If the police or coast guard is unable to mount an adequate response, then a phone call and a snap decision by the Cabinet would mobilize the Self-Defense Forces to a police operation."









The European Union has pledged its “unwavering” support for Ukraine’s government, with the EU foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, expressing major worries over Russian troop movements, The Guardian reports.

“Following with severe concern the Russian military activity surrounding Ukraine,” Borrell wrote online after a phone call with Ukraine’s foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba.

“Unwavering EU support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

Borrell said he would hold further talks on the issue with Kiev’s top diplomat and foreign ministers from the EU’s 27 nations at a meeting later this month.

Ukraine this week accused Russia of massing thousands of military personnel on its northern and eastern borders as well as on the Crimean peninsula "annexed" by Moscow in 2014.

The Kremlin did not deny the recent troop movements but insisted that Moscow was “not threatening anyone”.

Reports of a buildup have swirled amid an escalation of armed clashes along the front line between Ukraine’s forces and Russian-backed separatists.

The long-simmering conflict has claimed more than 13,000 lives since 2014, according to the UN.

Western leaders including Joe Biden have said they are standing by Ukraine.







The situation in eastern Europe got very much worse today in the ongoing troubles between Russia and Ukraine/US/UK/NATO.

With Russia massing utterly gigantic numbers of troops, tanks, artillery, and armored personnel carriers both in Crimea and on Ukraine's eastern Border states of Luhansk and Donetsk, an "Emergency Meeting" was called of the Trilateral Contact Group on the Conflict in Donbas. (The "Donbas" is the two-state region consisting of Luhansk and Donetsk, which want to breakaway from Ukraine and join Russia).

The purpose of the emergency meeting was to ask Russia to renew the cease-fire agreement, which Expired on March 31.  Russia had previously refused to renew it when Ukraine began massing troops on the borders of the Donbas. 

At the time, it appeared to Russia, and to most others watching developments, that Ukraine was intent on a military solution to the breakaway states, and intends to take them back by force.

Moreover, the President of Ukraine had also signed a Decree declaring Crimea as being "under occupation" and approving a military plan to forcibly take it back from Russia.  In fact, on other documents, Ukraine declared that the conflict with the two breakaway states was "an international conflict" and the combatants were "Ukraine and Russia."  

When those documents became public, Russia recoiled in horror, saying they amounted to a Declaration of War upon Russia by Ukraine!

Seeing these developments, Russia declined to renew the cease fire agreement, and then sped-up the movement of additional Russian Army units to Crimea and to Russia's border with Ukraine. 

The Trilateral Contact Group is made up of Ukraine, Russia, and the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), and in September 2014, representatives from all three parties signed the Minsk Protocol, an agreement to end the Donbass war.








The Chinese communist regime is accelerating its plans to invade Taiwan, an expert warns, as Beijing ratchets up military maneuvers against the island.


Twenty Chinese military aircraft—including four nuclear-capable H-6K bombers, 10 J-16 fighter jets, two Y-8 anti-submarine warfare aircraft, and a KJ-500 airborne early warning and control aircraft—entered Taiwan’s air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on March 26, according to Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense. It was the largest incursion ever reported by the ministry.

Taiwan’s ADIZ, located adjacent to the island’s territorial airspace, is an area where incoming planes must identify themselves to the island’s air traffic controller.

The incursion was the most serious incident amid a significant increase in hostility by Beijing against Taiwan since 2020. Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen, reelected last January, has taken a hard line against threats posed by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), while the island has deepened its cooperation with the United States—prompting the regime to escalate its warmongering toward the island.

The CCP sees Taiwan as a part of its territory and has threatenedwar to bring the island into its fold. The self-ruled island is a de facto independent country with its own democratically elected government, military, constitution, and currency.






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