Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Russian Government Resigns As Putin Plans For Drastic Constitutional Changes




Dissolving Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev's government and outlining major constitutional reforms, President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday moved to assert more explicitly his absolute control over Russian politics.
This is Putin's clearest signal yet that he intends to continue as Russia's master for the long term. 
Although Putin backed away from amending the constitution to allow himself to serve another term in 2024 (the constitution limits presidents to serving two consecutive terms at a time), his other reforms are designed to consolidate his dominance. The details are not yet fully clear, and Putin says all the proposals will be put to a referendum, but his strategy is clear. Standout reforms include:
  • Allowing the president and parliamentary upper house to remove Supreme Court judges and play a role in approving security service heads.
  • Increasing the State Council's authoritative power — it's currently a presidential advisory board. 
  • Requiring constitutional court checks on new legislation. 
  • Empowering the Duma to appoint the prime minister and Cabinet — even where the president disagrees with appointees. 
  • Requiring presidential candidates to have lived in Russia for at least 25 years and always without foreign citizenship or residency rights. 
Again, this is about ensuring that no future leader can wrest control from Putin in a way that would jeopardize his interests.

Well, the predictably docile Medvedev was happy to endorse his expulsion from the inner circle. Putin has asked Mikhail Mishustin to serve as Medvedev's replacement. It's an unremarkable choice. The 10-year head of Russia's long-corrupted federal tax service, Mishustin has avoided the bright lights of Kremlin celebrity in favor of quiet Putin loyalism. But in replacing the corrupt Medvedev with Mishustin, Putin has simply replaced one yes man for another. Mishustin will serve primarily for the protection of the inner-circle corruption that defines Russia's kleptocracy.

That said, the departure of longtime foreign minister Sergey Lavrov and Defense Minister Sergei Shoygu (a possible Putin successor) will be interesting. Putin can now appoint new faces that offer a fresh presentation to the Russian people and an assurance of absolute loyalty to his person.
Still, the key takeaway here is that whether in the shadows or otherwise, Putin is going to be the Russian czar for a long time to come.





Russian Government Unexpectedly Resigns On Putin Plans For Drastic Constitutional Changes




Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev has made a shock and dramatic announcement that he and the entire Russian government is resigning in a statement just after President Vladimir Putin's annual state-of-the-nation address, state media outlets report. The ruble slipped about 0.5% on the news.

Despite what appears a drastic shake-up afoot, Reuters suggests it's part of a plan that could result in Putin extending his power despite a constitutional ban currently in effect preventing him from running for more than two consecutive terms. It appears a bid for him to handpick the new government and enact reforms that could weaken his future successor. 

"President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday proposed a nationwide vote on sweeping constitutional changes that would shift power from the presidency to parliament and the prime minister, a move that could allow him to extend his rule after leaving the Kremlin," Reuters comments.

Medvedev said the government resignation means Putin will decide the new government's make-up, after which the now former prime minister appears to have been appointed head of the security council.

So despite it appearing that Putin is perhaps actually giving away power, it must be remembered that his presidential term doesn't expire till 2024.

“In this context, it is obvious that, as the government, we must provide the president with a capability to make all decisions,” Medvedev said of Putin's proposing several amendments to the constitution. Medvedev later told TASS that Putin's proposals introduce “substantial changes not only to an entire range of articles of the constitution, but also to the entire balance of power, the power of the executive, the power of the legislature, the power of judiciary.”


The #Russian constitution gives enormous powers to the President allowing #Putin to almost enact whatever he would like. In the past when Putin term came up, he either extended the term limit of the presidency or stepped down and became PM while giving the PM role lots of power
— Strategic Sentinel (@StratSentinel) January 15, 2020


Accepting the resignation, Putin asked the ministers to function as a caretaker government until a new one is formed.
Before announcing the resignation of the cabinet, Medvedev met with Putin to discuss his state-of-the-nation address, which took place earlier on Wednesday, the Kremlin’s press office said.
Putin also said that he plans to create a position of the deputy secretary of Russia’s security council, and offer it to Medvedev.

Putin said during his address: “Of course these are very serious changes to the political system.” 

“It would increase the role and significance of the country’s parliament ... of parliamentary parties, and the independence and responsibility of the prime minister,” he added.

Skeptics, however, see it as an attempt to create more "options" to wield influence over parliament even after he exits the presidency. 

Reuters, for example, notes that "Critics have long accused him of plotting to stay on in some capacity to wield power over the world’s largest nation after he steps down. He remains popular with many Russians who see him as a welcome source of stability even as others complain he’s been in power for too long."
But then again one could argue that given Putin voiced a desire to change the constitution to give the State Duma (which is the lower house of parliament) the ability to select Russia's prime minister and other top positions, this actually creates more checks and balances and fundamentally diffuses power away from the executive. 



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