On June 13, 2025, Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran—an assault that would later become known as the 12-Day War.
It began with an attempted decapitation strike aimed at the Iranian leadership. Dozens of senior generals and officials were killed.
The US and Israel hoped this would trigger the collapse of the Iranian government. It wasn’t an unrealistic expectation—such a blow could have toppled a government in many other countries.
'
The extent of the damage to Iran’s nuclear program remains unclear. President Trump claimed to have “obliterated” it, but that’s far from certain. What is clear is that Iran retains the technical know-how and the capacity to rebuild whatever was lost. The only question is how quickly.
In response to US strikes on its nuclear facilities, Iran launched a ballistic missile attack on the massive US airbase in Qatar, destroying a key radar installation. The US sought to keep the damage out of public view to de-escalate the situation.
The nuclear issue is unresolved. That’s why the 12-Day War was only Round 1. Round 2 is almost certain—and it could be far larger and far more devastating.
And now, after an attempted regime change, there is virtually no chance Iran’s government will willingly give up its nuclear ambitions. That leaves only one path for the US and Israel to fully eliminate Iran’s nuclear capability: a full-scale war to overthrow the regime.
Any new nuclear deal, if negotiated, would likely be short-lived. Why? Because a lasting agreement would only strengthen Iran—which, in turn, bolsters Russia and China—undermining US power in the global order.
The real issue here is regime change. The nuclear program is just the pretext. Why? Because even if Iran agreed to a new nuclear deal, the US and Israel would still view the Iranian government as an intolerable geopolitical threat.
That’s why I believe the status quo is untenable.
The situation is fluid, volatile, and impossible to predict with precision.
But when you step back and look at the full picture, I believe there’s a real chance the US will not succeed in overthrowing Iran’s government.
The larger implication? We are likely witnessing the end of US global dominance, much like the fall of the British Empire in the wake of the world wars.
Many people are unprepared for such a historic shift. But when you view the Big Picture, this is where the world appears to be headed.
Changes in the world order are rare, history-defining events—with massive implications, both geopolitical and financial.
We are living through one of those rare moments right now.
That’s why it’s critical to tune out the noise, cut through the propaganda, and understand the true geopolitical landscape.
History is shifting before our eyes. The 12-Day War was only the opening act in a much larger confrontation—one that could reshape the global order, redraw alliances, and trigger the most dangerous financial crisis in a century. Most people will be blindsided by what comes next. But you don’t have to be.
No comments:
Post a Comment