Sunday, July 29, 2018

Is War With Iran Coming?

War with Iran is Coming

In recent weeks, two seminal events have occurred that make war with Iran more likely. 
First, Iran (currently struggling with growing domestic unrest because of the horrific economic conditions in that country) has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz. Second, Iranian-backed Houthi Rebels in Yemen have attacked two Saudi Arabian-flagged oil tankers operating in the Bab-el-Mandeb
The U.S. government has ranked seven of the world’s most important “oil chokepoints”—strategic waterways through which a majority of the world’s oil is transported. If these waterways are blocked, the world economy would grind to a halt.
The Strait of Hormuz divides the coastlines of Iran and Saudi Arabia. The Bab-el-Mandeb links the Indian Ocean and Mediterranean Sea through the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. It is located between Yemen and the Arabian Peninsula and touches Djibouti and Eritrea.

The Strait of Hormuz, however, is more important. According to Bloomberg, the Bab-el-Mandeb is “significantly less crucial than the better-known Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Iran” for shipping crude oil. Combined, though, Iran’s recent actions are meant to be strong signals to the United States (and its allies in Israel and the Sunni Arab states).

Since taking office, President Trump has reversed course on his predecessor’s Iran policy. This is part of the Trump Administration’s overall pressure campaign designed to extract better deals from other countries, friend and foe alike. Trump is now stuck between either abandoning the region to Iran or standing firm with our imperfect allies—even at the risk of a wider war.

A greater conflict is exactly what is shaping up between the Sunni and Shiite spheres of the Islamic world in the Middle East.

Previously, the Islamic world was torn apart by another Sunni-Shiite conflict, the Iran-Iraq War. In that bloody war, which spanned eight years between 1980 and 1988, Iraq’s Saddam Hussein attempted to annex the Shatt al-Arab waterway. Even with financial support from Kuwait and Saudi Arabia—and with implicit backing from the United States—Saddam’s Arab army couldn’t achieve its goals. 
During the Iran-Iraq War, the Iranians began targeting all Sunni Arab oil tankers operating in the Strait of Hormuz—notably those belonging to Saudi Arabia and Kuwait—in retaliation for Iraq having targeted Iranian oil-tankers beginning around 1981. This prompted a wider American intervention to protect the Saudi and Kuwaiti tankers (by re-flagging the tankers as American ships and having the U.S. Navy escort them through contested waters, such as those of the Strait of Hormuz).

Further, I would anticipate spikes in the global price of oil for the foreseeable future (by the way, this undoubtedly would make Moscow happy, since Russia depends on higher-than-average oil prices to sustain its economy and military modernization program). Should these increases continue for the foreseeable future—and if Iran continued both with its illicit nuclear weapons program and regional expansion—the United States will be forced to intervene military. 
Also, eventually, Washington will have no choice but to either enforce its strict de-nuclearization policy for Iran or to step back, be humiliated by Iran, and watch the Iranians run roughshod over the region (since there is little hope that the Saudi-led Sunni Arab states will fare any better against Iran than Saddam’s armies ever did).
It is unlikely the Trump White House would favor this outcome. 
Instead, the administration will more likely seek to escalate the situation with some form of direct American involvement (a combination of naval operations to keep the vital oil chokepoints open and potential air strikes to attack suspected Iranian nuclear sites as well as Iranian naval bases). 
Meanwhile, the Sunni Arab states (and likely Israel) recognize that they alone cannot defeat Iran. They would prefer to escalate tensions as high as possible, prove unable to push Iran back, and prompt a direct American military engagement against Iran.

As for Iran’s besieged mullahs: they would prefer to distract their angry population by fighting the infidels of the West (and the apostates of the Sunni states) rather than be overthrown by popular unrest at home.
War—whether limited or unlimited—with Iran is coming.

This Nightmare Scenario Is Growing Closer: Iranian Sleeper Cells Hibernating In America

As this new story from The Express that the Drudge Reportlinked to on Thursday reports, a Senior Iranian military commander has warned that Iran is prepared to send terrorists to the US following President Trump's twitter warning to the Iranian President as seen in the screenshot below. Yet we remind you that Iran has LONG had sleeper cells in this country as Adam Kredo reported back in April of 2017 at the Washington Free Beacon

As Kredo reported then, those sleeper cells have been operating largely unfettered, and with the full awareness and alarm of members of the US Congress. From Kredo's April of 2017 story: 

Iranian-backed militants are operating across the United States mostly unfettered, raising concerns in Congress and among regional experts that these "sleeper cell" agents are poised to launch a large-scale attack on the American homeland, according to testimony before lawmakers.

Iranian agents tied to the terror group Hezbollah have already been discovered in the United States plotting attacks, giving rise to fears that Tehran could order a strike inside America should tensions between the Trump administration and Islamic Republic reach a boiling point.

Intelligence officials and former White House officials confirmed to Congress on Tuesday that such an attack is not only plausible, but relatively easy for Iran to carry out at a time when the Trump administration is considering abandoning the landmark nuclear deal and reapplying sanctions on Tehran.

According to this November of 2015 story over at the Clarion Project, there were more than 80 radical mosques in the US back then according to National Security Analyst Ryan Mauro and this story over at the Daily Caller

Spread all throughout the country from East coast to West, we remind you that while Obama was in office with Robert Mueller as his head of the FBI, they purged all mention of Islamic terrorfrom FBI law enforcement training manuals. 

And with Iran now threatening to possibly unleash their sleeper agents in America, many who may have been embedded here for many, many years, we hope that President Trump listens to what Tucker Carlson has to say in this video while making his decision on whether to attack Iran, especially with one State Department insider claiming there is a "eerily familiar drumbeat of war intensifying" across Washington DC. 

And with members of the US Congress long knowing that Iranian sleeper agents were gathering here in America, quite literally hibernating  and waiting for the word to unleash their fury here with Congress doing nothing about it, should President Trump bomb Iran and sleepers unleash hell upon America, the same members of US Congress will surely have blood on their hands. 

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