If you think coalition negotiations after the UK general election in May are going to be complicated or that Congress agreeing on a budget is messy, you should check out the Israeli elections.
Although the momentum is with Herzog – his party has come from behind, and its lead has doubled in a week (and may have continued to do so in the final four days of the campaign during which new polls could not be published) – the coalition arithmetic remains on Netanyahu’s side.
Adding up the parties to the right of Likud, Naftali Bennett’s Jewish Home party (on 12 seats in the polls), Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu (five) – although the party is no longer in a formal alliance with Likud – and Yachad (five) would take support for Netanyahu to 43 seats.
This is the prime minister’s most probable core bloc.
In an election as close and unpredictable as this, scenario planning is extremely complicated, and possibly speculative
However, one of Israel’s two centrist parties, Kulanu (nine), is more likely to back a Netanyahu coalition.
Finally, a deal with the two religious parties, Shas (seven) and United Torah Judaism (six) would take the PM’s total to 65 seats – a slim majority.
It’s no secret that Barack Obama greatly dislikes Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. But officially, Obama says that he is not trying to influence the outcome of the Israeli election. Unfortunately, just like with so many other lies that Obama tells, that simply is not true. A couple of months ago, it looked like Netanyahu was going to cruise to an easy victory in this election. But then a flood of money and an army of Obama operatives started heading into Israel. Now, the latest opinion polls project that Isaac Herzog’s Zionist Union will take 26 seats in the Knesset, and Netanyahu’s Likud Party is only being projected to take 22 seats. Netanyahu is blaming this dramatic swing in the polls on an “international conspiracy," but he won’t mention Obama by name. However, anyone with half a brain can see what is happening. Even CNN admits that “corks will be popping at the White House and State Department if Netanyahu loses."
The leader of the army of Obama operatives that has gone over to Israel is named Jeremy Bird. He was the national field director for Barack Obama’s 2012 presidential campaign. And even though Netanyahu won’t point a finger directly at Barack Obama, he has been willing to single out the organization that Bird is working for…
During the Tel Aviv rally Sunday, Netanyahu chided what he called funding “from abroad” of an activist group which has pushed for Netanyahu’s ouster. The group, V15, is working with Jeremy Bird, one of President Barack Obama’s former campaign strategists. Netanyahu, who has strong links to U.S. billionaire Sheldon Adelson, has attributed his drop in the polls to a “worldwide” conspiracy to oust him.
And of course there are lots of other Obama operatives working alongside Bird to oust Netanyahu. In a previous article, I shared a list that had been compiled by WND…
If Isaac Herzog becomes the next prime minister, the outlook for negotiations with the Palestinians will change almost overnight. The probability that Obama will be able to cement his “legacy” with a historic Middle East peace deal will go up dramatically.
On the other hand, if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wins, he is already promising that there will not be a Palestinian state for as long as he is holding office…
Ed Klein at the New York Post reports that "Obama senior adviser Valerie Jarrett leaked to the press details of Hillary Clinton's use of a private e-mail address during her time as secretary of state… But she did so through people outside the administration, so the story couldn't be traced to her or the White House." Oops!
Okay – I don't normally pat myself on the back – but I called this one, actually telling someone a week ago that it was probably Jarrett who is trying bury Hillary Clinton, but is also most likely behind the potential toppling of long time Clinton buddy Rahm Emmanuel in Chicago, where Jarrett is from, and of course where Obama lived. I frankly think she is trying to kill off (figuratively) or at least tarnish everything Clinton.
Russia Escalates Military Posture: Deploys Strategic Bombers To Crimea, Launches Massive Drills Across Nation
All those who were wondering where Putin had "disappeared" to, and spreading rumors whether it was more likely his girlfriend had given birth in Switzerland or aliens had abducted him, will probably be satisfied if he were to promptly disappear once more following news that not only yesterday had he put 40,000 troops on full alert as part of "snap-readiness exercises", but less than 24 hours followed this up with even more demonstrative military "drills" after Sputnik reported that Russian strategic Tu-22M3 (Backfire) strike bombers have been deployed to the Crimean Peninsula to hold snap combat readiness drills, a source in the Russian Defense Ministry said Tuesday, in addition to further massive troops and equipment deployment tests in the western part of the nation as well as around the Arctic circle.
As a reminder, Crimea was recently in the news following a weekend report citing Putin that he was ready to use nukes to secure the recently repossessed peninsula. So one can perhaps look at this as de-escalation.
“During the snap combat readiness drills by the Armed Forces, strategic Tu-22M3s will be deployed to Crimea,” the source said.
Then, perhaps to counter the build of NATO troops in the Baltics, Russia also deployed fighters and bombers to the country’s western exclave of Kaliningrad for snap combat readiness exercises, a source in the Russian Defense Ministry said Tuesday.
“Fighter and bomber aviation is to be redeployed to the Kaliningrad Region, and ground troops on the Baltic will be reinforced with Iskander missile complexes in the Western Military District that will be delivered on large landing ships from the Baltic Fleet,” the source said.
On Monday, President Vladimir Putin gave the order to bring Russia's Northern Fleet, separate units of the Western Military District and the Airborne Troops to full alert in snap combat readiness exercises. The drills involve a total of 38,000 troops, 3,360 military vehicles, 110 aircraft and helicopters, 41 ships and 15 submarines.
Snap military exercises will be held in the sea, as well as on the ground and in the air until March 21. Their ultimate goal is to improve the military capabilities of the Russian Armed Forces, according to the Defense Ministry.
And then completing the trifecta, in addition to Crimea and Kaliningrad, as many as 30 army air force crews of Russia's Western Military District are being redeployed from airfields in the Leningrad and Smolensk regions to a military airfield near the Arctic Circle as part of surprise combat readiness drills being held in the Northern Fleet and the Western Military District, according to an Interfax report.
As a further reminder, Russia has been particularly interested in weaponizing the Arctic in recent months, the location of countless energy deposits, announcing late in 2014 it would build 13 airfields and 10 radar stations to meet "unwelcome guests." This is just a preview
The crews operating Mil Mi-24 and Mi-8 helicopters will have to cover more than 1,500 kilometers with a refueling stopover in the Republic of Karelia.
"Military transport aviation crews will deliver paratroop units to a military airfield in Russia’s polar region under a snap combat readiness exercise. More than 10 Il-76 aircraft will be used for the redeployment. The aircraft will fly over 3,000 kilometers in 24 hours. The redeployment will take place in the daytime and in the nighttime," according to the statement.
According to the Defense Ministry, the exercises will continue until March 21
Many more are coming: the Russian Defense Ministry announced in December 2014 it planned to hold at least 4,000 military drills across the country in 2015.
And with the US now deploying tanks, armors and various other vehicles literally just across the Russian western border and soon, the Arctic as well, the possibility of an unexpected and unwelcome escalation in hostilities rises with every new military drill.
Now we can update our speculation – as there is this announcement, reported by the CBC, that US and Canadian border agents can work within each other's countries.
Will they do so within the context of a unified command? The details are yet unclear but when governmental agents work by treaty in each other's country, it's certainly a step toward a bureaucratic union.
The increased overlap between Mexico and the US is being driven by a reduction in immigration controls that is intended to allow more legal cross-border travel.
In Canada, where resistance to a merger with the US is even higher than in Mexico, bureaucratic unity drives the program. And it seems obviously to be a program. A series of treaties and joint accords are gradually binding the governments of the three countries into an ever-tighter embrace.
Destroying Christian symbols, sites and relics cannot eradicate faith.
Faith is something that the Islamic State doesn’t understand, because that is not the core of their belief; works of their hands is. If finding a way into a hereafter were based on what one can demolish, desecrate and defame, then these professors of Islam would be heading for their concept of heaven. What they cannot conceive is the true calling of Christ is faith in what He already accomplished, not in what any one individual can do to earn their way into God’s presence. Plainly put, works do not equal faith, and to further that concept Allah does not equal God because God is love not hate. (1John 4:8)