Wars And Rumors Of War: Professor Of War Warns Many European Countries Are In A 'Pre-Civil-War' State

Professor Of War Warns Many European Countries Are In A 'Pre-Civil-War' State

Steve Watson

One of the globe’s leading experts on war has warned that many European countries are on the verge of civil war and may already be past the point of no return.

David Betz, Professor of War in the Modern World at King’s College London, says his research shows is a statistically significant chance of a civil war breaking out within five years in a major European country, with a distinct possibility that the conflict could spill over to neighbouring Nations.

Speaking to documentarian Andrew Gold, Betz further noted that it is likely too late to prevent things getting “very much worse” in Europe, and that governments may only be able to better prepare for the inevitable.

“I would probably avoid big cities. I would suggest you reduce your exposure to big cities if you are able,” Betz chillingly urged.

He added, “there isn’t anything they can do, it’s baked in. We’re already past the tipping point, is my estimation… we are past the point at which there is a political offramp. We are past the point at which normal politics is able to solve the problem.”

Betz emphasised that “almost every plausible way forward from here involves some kind of violence in my view.”

“Anything the government tries to do at this point… you can solve one kind of problem, but it will aggravate another kind of problem in doing so, and you get back to violence,” the professor continued.

“The question really is about mitigating the costs, to my mind, not about preventing the outcome, I’m sorry to say… I have not heard a credible political way forward and I don’t see a single political figure who is credible in the role of national saviour, or even inclined to do so,” he added.

“The bottom line is I don’t think there is now a political solution to this which takes the form of everything just working out OK after some period of difficulty,” Betz grimly concludes, noting “Things are bad now, but they are going to get very much worse.”

It’s a downward spiral, essentially.

“I understand what I say is extremely unpleasant”, Betz said, further remarking: “I just want to say dear elites, the consequences of your actions have arrived.”

Betz notes that the United Kingdom, France, and Sweden all already have “dire social instability”, “economic decline”, and “elite pusillanimity”, all historically precursors to conflict.

The academic estimates that a civil war in the UK, which now has a population of 70 million, could mean tens of thousands of deaths.

“The most unstable are moderately homogenous societies”, Betz has previously observed, noting that legacy majority groups feel their status being threatened or about to be completely replaced and they are more likely to fight to retain dominance.