With the US election now behind us, attention turns to what this means for the world during the next four years, particularly in relation to the volatile Middle East. As we are aware, Middle East peace has dominated the foreign policy platform of US administrations for a number of decades now and we can expect that as soon as Donald Trump is inaugurated as 47th President of the United States of America, he will waste no time in attempting to bring this longstanding illusion to reality. In April of this year, when speaking about the war in Gaza, he simply said, “They have to get it done—get it over with, and get it over with fast because we have to get back to normalcy and peace.” Easier said than done, particularly when you have a genocidal death cult on your southern, northern and eastern doorsteps.
Of interest to me is the election of Donald Trump at the same time as the Saudis are pushing an Arab peace initiative once again. I do not see that as a coincidence. So, let’s examine what has been quietly unfolding behind the backdrop of the US elections.
In March 2002, representatives from the United States of America, various members of the Arab League and the Palestinian Authority (led by the now deceased Yasser Arafat) gathered for the Arab League Summit in Beirut, Lebanon. At the summit, the Arab Peace Initiative was endorsed by those Arab states present. Under the Arab Peace Initiative (API), Israel was offered peace and normalisation with Arab states on three conditions:-
- Israel’s withdrawal from all territories occupied on June 5, 1967;
- the establishment of an independent and sovereign Palestinian state (with East Jerusalem as its capital); and
- Israel finding a just and agreed-upon solution for Palestinian refugees.
Israel rejected the API due to legitimate concerns that a return to pre-1967 borders would make Israel’s remaining territory largely indefensible. In fact, Israeli politician, Avigdor Lieberman, once called the API nothing less than a “recipe for Israel’s destruction.” Even in 2016, fourteen years after the proposal, Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated his opposition to the API. He told Likud ministers at the time that, “If the Arab nations grasp the fact that they need to revise the Arab League proposal according to the changes Israel demands, then we can talk. But if they bring the proposal from 2002 and define it as ‘take it or leave it’ – we’ll choose to leave it.”
With successive peace efforts failing to garner any concrete support, the API was eventually overshadowed by Middle East normalisation agreements signed by some Arab states under the framework of the Abraham Accords in 2020 and 2021. Although many Westerners saw these as positive steps, some Arab nations remained upset that it did not address their core issue of concern – “Palestinian rights.” For this reason, it was interesting to note the contents of an article published on the website of The Cairo Review of Global Affairs which said: “Look to the API, not the Abraham Accords, for regional peace.”
The reason that Arab states prefer the API framework is that it operates on a “land for peace” basis whereas the Israelis prefer the Abraham Accords which operates on a “peace for peace” basis. Further, the Abraham Accords are not about a Palestinian state, but a circumnavigation of it. However, Arab states insist that the Palestinian issue remain central to any peace plan going forward.
At present, it seems that the Saudis are intent on shaking the dust off the API and re-introducing it as a means to advancing peace in the region, particularly in a post-Hamas and post-Hezbollah world.
No surprise then that there are an increasing number of voices calling for an Arab Peace Initiative 2.0. However, this time it is being called by the rather lengthy name, The Global Alliance for the Implementation of the Two-State Solution, with the inaugural meeting held on 30 and 31 October 2024 in Saudi Arabia.
As reported by the Saudi Arabian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, “His Excellency Dr. Abdulrahman Al-Rassi, Deputy Minister for International Multilateral Affairs and General Supervisor of the Public Diplomacy Deputyship, underscored the importance of engaging participating countries in fostering a multilateral political path to achieve peace based on the two-state solution and an end to the Israeli occupation.
Grounded in the principles of international law, UN resolutions, the peace process frameworks, and the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative under the ‘land-for-peace’ principle, this seeks to end the suffering of the Palestinian people that has spanned for eight decades, enabling them to live in freedom and dignity in their independent Palestinian state within the 1967 borders and with East Jerusalem as its capital.”
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