Tuesday, February 17, 2026

The war party takes Munich


The war party takes Munich
RT


This year’s Munich Security Conference was not merely disappointing; it was pointless. It produced no new ideas and no added value. Instead, it resembled a rally of a self-styled “coalition of the willing” for war. That, unfortunately, is consistent with Germany’s long tradition of failing to draw the right lessons from history.

Western European leaders spoke almost exclusively about rearmament and the creation of an independent military capability aimed, openly or implicitly, at confrontation with Russia. The tone was unmistakable: preparation for war, not peace. 

At the same time, participants repeated the familiar mantra that “more must be done” to ensure Ukraine’s victory. The contradiction went largely unnoticed. What emerged instead was a disturbing impression that Western Europe’s war party has overwhelmed everything else, including common sense and the instinct for self-preservation.


On stage, European figures such as Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, alongside American voices like Senator Roger Wicker, openly called for supplying Ukraine with ever more advanced weapons, including Tomahawk missiles, described with an alarming casualness as if it were a modern “wunderwaffe.” The old refrain was repeated yet again: Ukraine can win, but Russia is also poised to attack NATO. This logical contradiction has become a permanent feature of Western discourse.

Washington, for its part, played along. But cautiously. This time, it sent the 'good cop': Secretary of State Marco Rubio, in contrast to last year’s 'bad cop', J.D. Vance. Gone were the blunt warnings about Western Europe’s inevitable collapse if it stayed the course. Instead came soothing assurances of American support and solidarity. Yet the underlying message remained unchanged: without the United States, the EU cannot survive. The transatlantic alliance was not restored; it was merely cosmetically repaired.

Zelensky received the expected applause from Munich’s hawkish audience and once again demanded security guarantees from Washington. In plain terms, he was asking the United States to commit itself to direct war with Russia.

Equally telling were the subjects that never surfaced. Talk of corruption in Ukraine, or of where Western funds are going, or when accountability will begin, was absent. So too was the fate of Venezuela’s leadership and the precedent set for international law. Iran was barely mentioned, despite last year’s US-Israeli military actions and the obvious risks of escalation. Even Greenland appeared only in whispered conversations offstage. Why complicate matters, when invoking the Russian threat remains the safest and most reliable option?

That, in essence, is all one needs to know about this year’s Munich Conference. A forum with a promising youth and a respectable maturity, now drifting toward ideological exhaustion.




Iran's IRGC Navy Launches Strait of Hormuz Drills


Iran's IRGC Navy Launches Strait of Hormuz Drills
Sputnik


The navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) launched the "Smart Control of the Strait of Hormuz" exercise on Monday amid tensions in the Middle East and the US military buildup in the region, Iranian state broadcaster IRIB reported.

The SNN news agency reported that the drills will test IRGC unit readiness, train response to security threats in the strait, and rehearse "rapid, decisive, and comprehensive" countermeasures by Iranian forces.

In January, US President Donald Trump said that a "massive armada" was heading toward Iran. He urged Tehran to sign a "fair and equitable" deal before it was too late, warning that future US strikes on the country would be "far worse" than the previous ones.





THE DEEPER DIVE: The Beast is Here

THE DEEPER DIVE: The Beast is Here
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That is the AI singularity—the “event,” like the theoretical start of the cosmos, that will arrive by the end of this year by which time the self-creating ability of AI with its exponential growth rate will explosively make a single AI equal to a vast population of humans with super-genius capabilities. What threat would that vast population, if it were an alien invasion from another solar system with no fondness for us, present to our own species?

That is what the experts at the top of the AI food chain say we could find out this year or early next in what they are saying this month could be a doom of our own making. Only, it is not exactly an alien invasion. It is the corrupted consummation of human aspirations and knowledge and achievements into a heartless, alien-to-us brainchild (versus lovechild) that we are creating in our own image, with our own deceptiveness and deviance built throughout all of its vast learning, to supplant ourselves with godlike powers of comprehension far beyond our own, even collectively—a creation whose predictive abilities are already being experimented with in small stages on the warfront against other real human beings. 


It is an intelligence that transcends its own creators—the ultimate Tower of Babel in mankind’s attempted scrabble toward aspirations of godhood.


Alex Karp, the CEO of Palantir, a massive high-tech corporation that contracts widely on defense with multiple governments, says there is no question the US and its NATO allies are positioning for World War III where the other side, he says, will be Russia, China and Iran. Over the years that have followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, most prognosticators have been proclaiming that the world was redividing into a multi-polar world or a world of South v. North, but I have consistently argued that is not the case at all.


The world is remaining as bi-polar as it was throughout the Cold War. The division remans East v. West. Europe, the British Commonwealth and the US as well as all other NATO nations against Russia, China and their allies like Iran with threadlike ties also to various closely allied communist nations in South America, etc.


Palantir is deeply involved in developing high-tech warfare, including particularly AI warfare, digital surveillance, national ID systems throughout NATO. Karp and Palantir’s cofounder, Peter Thiel, have their finger on the war pulse throughout those nations, and they are clear on the coming war:


Mr. Karp is at the vanguard of what Mark Milley, the retired general and former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has called “the most significant fundamental change in the character of war ever recorded in history. In this new world, unorthodox Silicon Valley entrepreneurs like Mr. Karp and Elon Musk are woven into the fabric of America’s national security. (The New York Times)

As one with his fingers on the pulses of many involved nations, Karp says without hesitation,


The United States is “very likely” to end up in a three-front war with China, Russia and IranSo, he argues, we have to keep going full-tilt on autonomous weapons systems, because our adversaries will — and they don’t have the same moral considerations that we do…. We are “very close” to terminator robots and at the threshold of “somewhat autonomous drones and devices like this being the most important instruments of war. You already see this in Ukraine.


Ukraine has, in fact, become the high-tech companies’ laboratory and the governments’ testing ground for AI/robotic warfare. It is a hot field where prototype terminator robots are being deployed, tested and improved for combat in a much larger war that seems to be increasingly “likely.”


More....



Netanyahu: Hamas Must Surrender All Weapons or Face Renewed War


Netanyahu: Hamas Must Surrender All Weapons or Face Renewed War


Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared Sunday that Israel will not accept any arrangement allowing Hamas to retain weapons, warning that the terror group must fully disarm or face a renewed Israeli military campaign in Gaza.

Addressing the annual summit of the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations, Netanyahu outlined Israel’s conditions for advancing to the second phase of U.S. President Donald Trump’s Gaza peace initiative, making clear that partial disarmament is not an option.

“Hamas must first be disarmed, and then Gaza must be demilitarized,” Netanyahu said. “Disarmed means that it must give up its weapons — not ‘main’ weapons.”

Rejecting reports that Hamas might be permitted to retain small arms, the prime minister emphasized that rifles themselves constitute the primary threat.

“There are practically no heavy weapons in Gaza. There’s no artillery, there are no tanks,” he said. “The ‘heavy’ weapon — the one that does the most damage — is called an AK-47.”

Netanyahu noted that Hamas still possesses an estimated 60,000 rifles — the same type used in the October 7, 2023, massacre in southern Israel.

60-Day Deadline

Israel has agreed, at the request of the Trump administration, to allow Hamas a 60-day window to disarm. Cabinet Secretary Yossi Fuchs confirmed Monday that Israel is honoring that timeframe.

During that period, Hamas “will have to give up all of its weapons,” including rifles, Fuchs said at the Besheva Group conference in Jerusalem. “The AK-47s will be taken from them entirely.”

If Hamas refuses, he warned, the Israel Defense Forces will resume combat operations in Gaza.

“We will evaluate it,” Fuchs said. “If it works, great. If not, then the IDF will have to complete the mission.”

He added that a renewed military campaign could begin before Israel’s next national election, currently scheduled for October, if disarmament fails. In addition to confiscating weapons, Israel intends to dismantle remaining Hamas tunnel infrastructure.

He added that a renewed military campaign could begin before Israel’s next national election, currently scheduled for October, if disarmament fails. In addition to confiscating weapons, Israel intends to dismantle remaining Hamas tunnel infrastructure.

Gaza Plan Linked to Broader Regional Security

Netanyahu also tied the Gaza disarmament requirement to broader regional security concerns, particularly regarding Iran.

He expressed skepticism about a potential U.S.–Iran nuclear deal, citing Tehran’s record of untrustworthiness. However, he said that if an agreement is reached, it must include:

  • All enriched uranium removed from Iran
  • Complete dismantling of enrichment infrastructure
  • Strict limits on ballistic missile development
  • An end to Iranian support for terrorist proxies, including Hamas and Hezbollah

President Trump, Netanyahu said, is determined to exhaust diplomatic avenues. Still, the Israeli leader stressed that Israel will not compromise its core security requirements — whether in Gaza or regarding Iran.

On the Gaza front, Netanyahu’s message was unequivocal: no weapons means no weapons.

Either Hamas disarms fully — down to its rifles — or Israel returns to war.


Monday, February 16, 2026

‘We are prepared to move from defense to offense’: Israel signals harder line in Gaza


‘We are prepared to move from defense to offense’: Israel signals harder line in Gaza
KEREN SETTON



Israel and Hamas continued to exchange fire over the weekend, despite a fragile ceasefire still in place in Gaza.


Health officials from the Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry said eight Palestinians were killed by Israeli forces overnight between Saturday and Sunday. The IDF has yet to comment, though recent days have shown an uptick in clashes.

Hamas says nearly 600 Palestinians have been killed by Israeli forces since a ceasefire took effect in October 2025, after two years of war. Four Israeli soldiers have been killed since.

“Things are moving in Gaza,” Dr. Nimrod Goren, president of Mitvim – the Israeli Institute for Regional Foreign Policies, and an executive board member at Diplomeds – The Council for Mediterranean Diplomacy, told The Media Line. “Even if the plan appears questionable in terms of its sequencing and its end game on the ground, the reality on the ground in recent months has improved, and the process is continuing, contrary to expectations. There is a very limited momentum of progress, and if you look at the plan with adjusted expectations, there is room for some satisfaction.”

After completion of the first phase of the deal, which included the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas, a partial withdrawal of Israeli forces, and a halt in large-scale fighting, US President Donald Trump is trying to kickstart the second phase. That phase is expected to include Hamas’ complete disarmament, a full Israeli withdrawal, and the establishment of a technocratic government to administer the territory, removing Hamas as Gaza’s sovereign authority.

For now, violations continue, with both sides blaming each other. Israeli officials have warned that fighting will resume if Hamas does not disarm as mandated by the 20-point peace plan.

The peace plan was adopted by the United Nations Security Council in November 2025, increasing pressure on both sides to comply.

“For Hamas, the goal of the ceasefire was to end the fighting, get humanitarian aid in and rebuild its military capabilities,” Shaul Bartal, a research associate at the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, told The Media Line. “Hamas sees itself less bound than Israel to Security Council Resolutions and therefore views its attacks against the IDF as legitimate. Israel’s counter-attacks are also considered a violation of the ceasefire.”

“We are not giving up on the war objective that was set out, which is to completely demilitarize Gaza and disarm Hamas of all its weapons,” IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir told troops stationed along the Yellow Line in Gaza on Friday. “We are prepared to move from defense to offense.”

The military is currently holding positions along a demarcation line known as the “Yellow Line,” established under the October 2025 ceasefire. The line divides the Strip into Israeli-controlled and Palestinian-administered areas.

Israeli media have reported that the military has plans in place to renew the offensive against Hamas.

Separately, Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar is expected to attend Trump’s first formal Board of Peace meeting in Washington later this week at the request of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The US president is expected to announce a multibillion-dollar reconstruction plan for Gaza and unveil detailed plans for the International Stabilization Force, a multinational body intended to train local police, help secure Gaza’s borders, and disarm Hamas while sidelining the terrorist group.

Despite heavy losses during months of fighting, Israeli assessments say Hamas is working to rebuild its capabilities by recruiting new members, reestablishing command-and-control structures, and trying to replenish its arsenal through local weapons production and the recovery of unexploded Israeli ordnance. Israeli officials also say Hamas is attempting to rebuild its tunnel network and restore some rocket-launch capacity.

More....


Hamas standoff threatens Gaza stabilization, IDF poised to act