Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Israel, Lebanon End First Round of Historic Peace Talks in D.C. — ‘On the Same Side’ Against Hezbollah


Israel, Lebanon End First Round of Historic Peace Talks in D.C. — ‘On the Same Side’ Against Hezbollah


Secretary of State Marco Rubio called it a “historic opportunity” as Israel and Lebanon launched what officials described as their first direct talks in more than four decades on Tuesday, with envoys signaling they are “on the same side” against Iran-backed Hezbollah and expressing cautious optimism the effort could lay the groundwork for a durable peace.

The roughly two-hour session between Israeli Ambassador to the United States Yechiel Leiter and Lebanese Ambassador Nada Hamadeh Moawad marked the highest-level engagement between the two sides in decades — and the first direct talks since 1993 — as U.S. officials facilitated discussions aimed at launching a formal negotiation track.

Israel and Lebanon have technically remained in a state of war since Israel’s founding in 1948, making Tuesday’s meeting a significant diplomatic breakthrough after more than 40 years without direct negotiations.

In a joint statement following the talks, the United States, Israel, and Lebanon said they held “productive discussions” and agreed to launch direct negotiations “at a mutually agreed time and venue,” signaling the start of a broader diplomatic process aimed at a potential peace agreement.

Rubio cautioned the effort would unfold gradually, describing it as “a process, not an event,” while expressing hope the talks could establish a framework for a “permanent and lasting peace.”

The talks unfolded against an active conflict backdrop, with Hezbollah — an Iran-backed terrorist organization designated by the United States and others — launching attacks on Israel as the meeting began and triggering warning sirens in the north.

Israeli officials have made clear the talks will proceed alongside continued military operations against Hezbollah, maintaining pressure on the group while testing a diplomatic path forward.

Washington emphasized that any agreement to cease hostilities must be negotiated directly between Jerusalem and Beirut, rejecting efforts to link the track to separate U.S.-Iran negotiations and reiterating support for Israel’s right to defend itself against Hezbollah’s continued attacks.

Israeli officials used the meeting to press for the disarmament of Hezbollah and the dismantling of its infrastructure, with the joint statement noting Israel’s commitment to eliminating “all non-state terror groups” in Lebanon while pursuing a “durable peace” through direct negotiations.

Lebanon, for its part, reiterated what officials described as an “urgent need” to fully implement the November 2024 ceasefire agreement, calling for a cessation of hostilities alongside measures to address the country’s worsening humanitarian crisis.

Lebanese officials have emphasized the crisis facing civilians, while U.S. and Israeli officials have pointed to Hezbollah’s continued entrenchment and attacks as a central driver of the instability.

Despite the differences in emphasis, Leiter struck an optimistic tone following the talks, telling reporters, “We discovered today that we are both on the same side of the equation,” adding that both countries are “united to liberate Lebanon from the occupying power dominated by Iran called Hezbollah.”

He described the meeting as laying out a “long-term vision” for clearly defined borders and eventual normalization, arguing that Hezbollah’s weakening — alongside broader pressure on Iran — has created a rare opening for diplomacy.

“This is not a pipe dream, it’s a reality,” Leiter said in separate remarks, adding that recent developments have created an opportunity to degrade Iran’s regional proxies and advance peace.

Officials indicated the talks could ultimately pave the way for normalization and potential expansion of the Abraham Accords framework, though they cautioned the process remains in its early stages.

The terror group has rejected the negotiations outright, with Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem opposing talks with Israel and warning of further escalation, underscoring the challenges facing the diplomatic track.


Iran military warns will block Red Sea if US naval blockade continues


Iran military warns will block Red Sea if US naval blockade continues



Iran’s military warns it would block trade through the Red Sea, along with the Gulf and Sea of Oman, if the US naval blockade continues.

In a statement carried by Iranian state television, the head of Iran’s military central command center says if the US continues with its blockade and “creates insecurity for Iran’s commercial vessels and oil tankers,” it will constitute “a prelude” to violating the ceasefire.

“The powerful armed forces of the Islamic Republic will not allow any exports or imports to continue in the Persian Gulf, the Sea of Oman, and the Red Sea,” says Ali Abdollahi.

Blockading the Red Sea would like involve activating the Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen.

Thousands more US troops head to region with 7 days left in US-Iran ceasefire


Thousands more US troops head to region with 7 days left in US-Iran ceasefire – report


Over 10,000 more US troops will reach the Middle East this month, US officials tell The Washington Post.

There are 6,000 soldiers on the USS George H.W. Bush and its carrier group, which is sailing around Africa on its way to the region. Another 4,200 troops are in the Boxer Amphibious Ready Group, which is scheduled to reach the region at the end of April, according to the report.

The Boxer group includes the over 800 marines, along with helicopters and landing craft.

US President Donald Trump’s two-week ceasefire with Iran ends next Wednesday, but could be extended.

When the USS George H.W. Bush arrives, it will join two other carrier groups — the USS Abraham Lincoln and the USS Gerald Ford — in the region, both of which participated in the fighting against Iran.

Two US officials tell the outlet that planning continues for a range of ground operations in Iran, including landing special forces to take Iran’s highly enriched uranium, and landings on islands and the coast around the Strait of Hormuz.

How long can China hold out if Trump chokes off Iran’s oil? - analysis


How long can China hold out if Trump chokes off Iran’s oil? - analysis


Twenty minutes after the US naval blockade of Iranian ports took effect on Monday evening (Israel time), a Chinese-owned tanker called the MV Rich Starry pulled out of anchorage near Sharjah and headed for the Strait of Hormuz. It was flying a Malawian flag, which is an interesting choice for a landlocked country. Its AIS transponder had been spoofing its position for 11 days. It carried roughly 250,000 barrels of methanol, officially loaded at a UAE port, almost certainly originating from Iran.

The Rich Starry turned back. Then, in the early hours of Monday, it tried again and slipped through.

That single tanker tells the story of this blockade better than any Pentagon briefing. The US has assembled its largest naval force since 2003: three carrier strike groups, 21 warships, 100-plus aircraft, 10,000 personnel. Iran's navy is gone. The strait is under American control. And the ship that tested it was Chinese within minutes.

The blockade runs through Beijing

China purchases between 80% and 91% of Iran's total crude oil exports. In 2025, that meant roughly 1.38 million barrels per day. A decade ago, Iran exported to more than 20 nations. Round after round of sanctions shrank that buyer pool to one.

That concentration is why the blockade can work. Oil funds approximately 45% of Iran's government budget, and the IMF pegs the fiscal breakeven at $121 to $124 per barrel. Chinese buyers pay around $60 after discount. Iran was running deficits before the blockade began. The rial had lost 15% in one month.

The blockade does not need to stop every barrel. It needs to make the cost of continuing the trade higher than the cost of stopping it, and it needs to present Beijing with a menu where every option serves American interests.

Beijing's three choices

China can confront the US Navy, running tankers through the blockade and daring destroyers to board them. This would crater energy markets and risk military escalation. Beijing knows this.

China can absorb the loss and buy replacement crude. Painful. Shandong's independent refineries, which process 90% of Iranian oil reaching China, depend on below-market prices. Replacement barrels would cost $10 to $12 more per barrel. Russia has ramped up deliveries, but the switch carries real cost.

Or, and this is what Washington is banking on, China can use its leverage as Iran's sole meaningful customer to pressure Tehran toward a deal. Iran will ignore American threats. Iran will pay attention when its only paying customer calls and says: take the terms before the ceasefire expires on April 21.

The Pentagon claims no ships passed the blockade on day one. The facts are more complicated. BBC Verify identified four Iran-linked and three sanctioned vessels that emerged from the strait after enforcement began. The Rich Starry made it through. No Chinese vessel was boarded, seized, or fired upon.

The shadow fleet that moves Iranian oil was built for exactly this game: false flags, spoofed transponders, and ship-to-ship transfers off the coast of Malaysia. China's customs records show zero imports from Iran since 2022, yet its recorded "Malaysian" crude imports in 2025 reached 1.3 million barrels per day, more than double Malaysia's entire production. That evasion network has been running for years.

The US has tools to escalate: secondary sanctions against Chinese banks and tanker seizures modeled on December's Operation Southern Spear. Whether Washington will use them against Chinese entities during a trade war is another question. Critics have a strong argument: CSIS cautioned that the Navy's inability to prevent Iran's initial closure of the strait has weakened the administration's bargaining position, and no allied nation has supported the blockade.

The ceasefire expires in six days. If the shadow fleet pulls back from the strait in the next 72 hours, Beijing has made its decision. If more Rich Starrys probe the blockade, Beijing is calling Washington's bluff. Watch the rial: if the currency collapse accelerates, internal pressure on the regime becomes harder to ignore.

China holds 1.3 billion barrels in strategic reserves, enough for 120 days. Beijing can survive without Iranian crude. The question is whether it wants to while 21 warships sit between its tankers and their cheapest supplier, and the ceasefire clock runs out.

Every warship in the strait is there to make one phone line ring: the one between Beijing and Tehran.


5.7-magnitude earthquake hits off Costa Rica shore


5.7-magnitude earthquake hits off Costa Rica shore


A 5.7-magnitude earthquake struck off the western shore of Costa Rica on Wednesday, according to data by the United States Geological Survey (USGS). The earthquake was localized around 72 km from the district of Tamarindo in northwestern Costa Rica.

The depth of the quake was measured at 20 km. There is currently no information on damage and casualties.