I believed — and you probably did too — that the Strait of Hormuz would eventually reopen and be restored to full operation. I believed that the fighting would stop, the tankers would flow again, and the world would return to some semblance of normalcy. But I was wrong, and so was everyone who held onto that hope.
The people in charge don’t want the world to work for human civilization, it turns out. They want collapse, and they are getting it by making sure the Persian Gulf is permanently taken offline.
This isn’t a war that merely got out of hand. It’s a deliberate, engineered dismantling of global energy and food infrastructure. As I detailed in March 2026, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is not a temporary disruption — it is a geopolitical and financial reality that has already snapped shut [1]. The assumption that problems will be solved because they always have been is a dangerous illusion [2]. We are watching the greatest crisis in human history unfold, and the very people who caused it may have no real desire to end it.
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and even the United States all have strong incentives to end the war and reopen the Strait. They need oil revenue, stable markets, and functional supply chains. But those incentives don’t matter at the highest levels of global control. The globalist agenda does not seek restoration — it seeks systemic collapse.
The damage extends beyond oil. Desalination plants are now being targeted, raising fears that the next targets in the U.S.-Iran war will be the very facilities that make life possible in the Gulf. As Peter Zeihan noted, a wrecked Iranian client state is one that cannot be a springboard for future action [7]. But the wreckage doesn’t stop at Iran’s borders. The entire region’s infrastructure is being systematically dismantled, and there is no reasonable timeline for recovery.
Losing 20 million barrels of oil per day and 10 percent of global fertilizer production means global depression and famine. The Haber-Bosch process that feeds half the world is about to go offline because natural gas — the feedstock for nitrogen fertilizer — is no longer flowing from its best sources [8]. Oil prices will skyrocket, diesel rationing will hit food transport, and hundreds of millions will die.
The 10-year famine is about to be unleashed [9]. The real threat from the Iran war hits farmers, not fuel pumps, as diesel and fertilizer shortages cripple agriculture [10]. We are already seeing it: commercial crude oil stockpiles in the U.S. fell to a 22-year low as Gulf Coast exports drained inventories [11]. Without fertilizer, crop yields collapse. Without diesel, food cannot be harvested or transported. The system is gridlocked, and the elites are counting the bodies they hope will soon be stacked high.