Monday, January 5, 2026

Slowing Narco-Terrorism Is Important but Taking Control of Venezuela’s Oil Was the Prize






President Donald Trump announced yesterday that the United States would take direct control of Venezuela’s operations following the swift capture of Nicolás Maduro in a targeted military strike. The move ends years of Maduro’s iron-fisted Marxist rule, which plunged the once-prosperous nation into economic ruin and humanitarian crisis. With Maduro now in U.S. custody in New York facing multiple charges, the White House has outlined plans to stabilize the country, starting with its vast oil reserves—the largest in the world.

Trump, speaking at a press conference, made no secret of America’s stake in Venezuela’s petroleum wealth. “We’re going to be taking a tremendous amount of wealth out of the ground,” he said, emphasizing that U.S. oil companies would invest billions to repair the dilapidated infrastructure left by Maduro’s regime.

He added that the U.S. would “run” Venezuela temporarily to ensure a smooth transition, with American firms leading the revival of crude production. This comes after years of sanctions that crippled Venezuela’s output, dropping from over 3 million barrels a day to barely 800,000 under Maduro’s mismanagement.

The question lingering in many minds is whether this intervention amounts to seizing Venezuela’s oil as “compensation” for ousting the dictator. Trump himself noted that the operation “won’t cost us anything” because private U.S. companies would foot the bill for rebuilding, in exchange for access to the fields. Critics abroad call it neo-colonialism, but supporters see it as a practical solution to repay the debts Maduro racked up—debts that include billions owed to American firms from past expropriations under his predecessor, Hugo Chávez. Chevron and other majors lost assets worth tens of billions when the socialist government nationalized the industry in 2007.

Delving deeper, Maduro’s fall didn’t happen in a vacuum. Reports from last year revealed he desperately offered the U.S. majority control of Venezuela’s oil and gold reserves to lift sanctions and avoid conflict, according to The New York Times. Trump rejected the deal at the time, opting instead for a blockade of Venezuelan tankers that starved the regime of revenue. That strategy, combined with a $50 million bounty on Maduro’s head, set the stage for his capture. Now, with power handed to Vice President Delcy Rodríguez—a Maduro loyalist and former oil minister—the U.S. appears positioned to extract concessions, perhaps including preferential oil deals.

Some observers whisper of broader forces at play. China, which loaned Venezuela $19 billion tied to oil shipments, stands to lose big if U.S. firms dominate exports. Russia, too, had propped up Maduro with military aid and relocated Venezuelan oil operations to evade sanctions.

Could this be part of a larger pushback against Beijing and Moscow’s influence in the Western Hemisphere? 

Trump’s blockade last December, which dried up Maduro’s $200 million weekly oil income, forced his hand, but whispers suggest internal betrayals—maybe even from Rodríguez herself—greased the wheels for the U.S. raid.

All of this appears to be a path through which the United States can get access to Venezuela’s vast oil reserves before Russia and/or China could. Both adversarial nations have had their sights set on Venezuela oil but had problems of their own to deal with closer to home, limiting the ways they could integrate. They were also forced to try to make a deal while keeping the friendly leadership structure in Venezuela intact. The United States was not held back by such constraints.

On the ground, Venezuelans face uncertainty. Opposition leader María Corina Machado, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate and vocal Trump ally, waits in the wings, ready to lead a pro-American government. Her vision aligns with free markets and dismantling socialism, potentially unlocking prosperity. Yet, the U.S. role in selling “large amounts” of Venezuelan oil to global markets, as Trump put it, raises eyebrows. Will revenues truly flow back to rebuild schools and hospitals, or will they line corporate pockets?

Energy markets reacted mildly so far, with analysts predicting no immediate price spikes despite the drama. Brent crude hovered around $75 a barrel today, buoyed by the prospect of increased Venezuelan supply under U.S. oversight. For America, this could mean cheaper imports and greater energy security, reducing reliance on Middle Eastern suppliers. Trump framed it as a win: “We’re in the oil business.”

Faithful Americans might recall Proverbs 14:34—“Righteousness exalts a nation, but sin is a reproach to any people.” Maduro’s regime, marked by corruption, voter fraud in elections, and brutal suppression of dissent, embodied that reproach. Removing him aligns with pursuing justice, though the oil entanglement tests the line between liberation and self-interest.

As details emerge, one thing is clear: Venezuela’s oil, long a curse under tyrants, could become a blessing if managed wisely. The U.S. has the chance to guide that path, ensuring the resource serves the people rather than propping up dictators. Time will tell if this bold step restores order or sparks new conflicts in the region.


Collapse of narco-terror hub: Maduro's fall weakening Iran, Hezbollah's drug network - analysis


Collapse of narco-terror hub: Maduro's fall weakening Iran, Hezbollah's drug network - analysis

Less than 48 hours after the US operation against Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, his government is, at this stage, still functioning, his vice president is acting as head of state, and it is not yet clear what Venezuela’s relations with Iran and Hezbollah will look like in the new era.

That said, it is already evident that the fact that Maduro is no longer the country’s dictator, and that everything that happens in Venezuela from now on will be under American supervision. This constitutes a severe blow to the operational base of Tehran and the Lebanese terrorist organization in South America.

Since Maduro’s predecessor, Hugo Chávez, came to power in 1999, relations between Tehran and Caracas have tightened significantly. During his first visit to Iran in 2001, Chávez declared that he had arrived “to help pave the way for peace, justice, stability, and progress in the 21st century.”

Nearly 300 economic, infrastructure, gas, and oil agreements were signed, worth billions of dollars. At one point, Venezuela even considered selling F-16 fighter jets to Tehran, while Iran supplied Venezuela with advanced Mohajer-6 drones.

“Already in 2022, when I served as defense minister, I exposed the growing ties between Maduro’s Venezuela and Iran,” former defense minister Benny Gantz wrote on X/Twitter. “While one hand armed the rogue regime in Venezuela with advanced drones, the other Venezuelan hand sent tons of drugs to kill Americans around the world.” Iran and Venezuela also assisted each other in oil-smuggling operations.

The terror connection between the two countries was exposed publicly in 2022, when an Argentine court detained a Venezuelan-owned cargo plane carrying five Iranians, including a commander and operatives from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Quds Force.

Hezbollah and the Maduro regime also maintained close ties. Over the years, the terrorist organization established a foothold in Venezuela, largely due to the Lebanese community that migrated there following the Lebanese Civil War in the 1970s.

Hezbollah has managed to sustain itself financially through drug-smuggling networks and cooperation with various criminal actors. The Chávez and Maduro governments, which turned a blind eye to these activities and, according to US authorities, even stood at the head of drug cartels, created fertile ground for such cooperation.

Brian Townsend, a DEA agent, described their role as follows: “They launder money and provide networks that help cartels move funds through the Middle East. They take a cut of the drug trade, which finances their operations.” In recent years, the connection between the two entities became so significant that senior Venezuelan government officials effectively worked for Hezbollah.

Tareck El Aissami served as Venezuela’s vice president and later as petroleum minister until 2023. While in office, he faced US allegations of corruption, money laundering, and drug trafficking, including activities linked to Hezbollah.

In Israel, officials assess that Hezbollah operatives and members of the IRGC obtained local citizenship, allowing them to move freely across South America and expand their influence. In addition, it is believed that Venezuela served as a base for Iranian and Hezbollah terrorist operations.

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Trump says Iran will ‘get hit very hard’ if it continues killing protesters


Trump says Iran will ‘get hit very hard’ if it continues killing protesters

The Times of Israel is liveblogging Monday


 US President Donald Trump warns Iran that it would get “hit very hard” by the United States if more protesters die during demonstrations that have entered a second week.

“We’re watching it very closely. If they start killing people like they have in the past, I think they’re going to get hit very hard by the United States,” Trump tells reporters aboard Air Force One, repeating the same threat he made on Friday.

At least 16 people have been killed in the protests, according to human rights groups.

Havana says 32 Cuban police officers killed in US operation in Venezuela

A total of 32 Cuban nationals were killed during the US attack on Caracas that culminated in the capture of Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro, the government in Havana says.

The Cuban military and police officers were on a mission in the Caribbean country at the request of Venezuela’s government, according to a statement read on Cuban state TV.

“As a result of the criminal attack carried out by the government of the United States” against Venezuela, “32 Cubans lost their lives in combat operations,” the Cuban government says in the statement.

What the Cubans were working on in the South American nation was unclear, but Cuba, a close ally of Venezuela’s government, has sent military and police forces to assist in operations for years.

“You know, a lot of Cubans were killed yesterday,” US President Donald Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One as he flew Sunday night from Florida back to Washington. “There was a lot of death on the other side. No death on our side.”

Interim Venezuelan president calls for ‘balanced and respectful’ ties with US

Venezuela’s Interim President Delcy Rodriguez on calls for a “balanced and respectful” relationship with the United States, a day after American forces attacked Caracas and captured leftist leader Nicolas Maduro.

“We consider it a priority to move toward a balanced and respectful relationship between the US and Venezuela,” Rodriguez, Maduro’s vice president, writes on Telegram.

“We extend an invitation to the US government to work together on an agenda for cooperation that is aimed toward shared development.”

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Sunday, January 4, 2026

Unusual American Military Activity In The UK and Europe?


First Venezuela, Next Iran?
 TYLER DURDEN


Top US officials have been eager to capitalize on the Trump-ordered military raid on Caracas, which saw the Venezuelan capital bombed and its longtime socialist leader Nicolás Maduro captured without major incident and transferred to US soil where's facing federal drug charges related to narco-trafficking and gun-running.

Hawkish pundits are already clamoring for more muscular action targeting Tehran (and other supposed 'rogue' actors) at a moment of ongoing economic protests in Iran pressuring Islamic Republic leaders. Trump is issuing veiled threats to the governments of Cuba, Colombia, and Mexico - but many are asking: is Iran next? Various open source intelligence channels (OSINT) on Sunday have highlighted some unusual American military activity in the UK and Europe, for example...

Something unusual appears to be going on today at RAF Fairford near Gloucestershire in the United Kingdom, with at least 10 C-17A Globemaster IIIs with the U.S. Air Force arriving at the base or currently crossing the Atlantic from the United States. Almost all of the C-17s appear to be out of either Hunter Army Airfield in Savannah, Georgia, the home of the 1st Battalion, 75th Ranger Regiment and the 3rd Battalion, 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment (SOAR); or Campbell Army Airfield in Kentucky, which houses the 101st Airborne Division and the 1st/2nd Battalions of the 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment (SOAR).

It's hard to know if this constitutes the usual Pentagon logistical operations in Europe, but it does indeed raise questions regarding Washington's force posture vis-a-vis Iran

One theme of the last several months of Trump's military build-up in the southern Caribbean has been that in sending so many warships to Venezuelan waters, including at least one nuclear-powered submarine and the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier group, is that this level of military asset concentration in Latin America means less deadly or long-range assets in the Middle East (CENTCOM) area of operation.

But could we be witnessing a quick pivot, now with Maduro awaiting trial in New York?

There are various things to consider when it comes to potential White House discussions on the matter. First, it must be recalled that Trump wisely declared mission accomplished when US bombers 'obliterated' (in the US estimation) Iran's three most important nuclear development sites at the tail-end of the June Israel-Iran war, which lasted just 12 days. There was no sustained American bombing campaign against Iran, also as Trump knows that "doing another Iraq" would be hugely unpopular at home.

There's another difficult reality when it comes to US actions targeting Iran, which behind Venezuela also possesses among the world's biggest proven reserves of crude oil. Iran is a country of over 90 million people, has a large military overseen by the elite IRGC, has long been 'military tested' (the 1980's Iran-Iraq war comes to mind), and has one of the world's premier arsenals of mid and long-range ballistic missiles. It even posses hypersonic capabilities (which the Israelis also learned). Because of this, last June Israeli warplanes were careful to operate largely outside Iranian airspace, and even though many anti-air missile sites were allegedly destroyed, this threat remains strong.

Reports of more IRGC missile tests over Iran Sunday night into Monday...


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Israeli military ordered to prepare for war on all fronts amid Iranian protests


Israeli military ordered to prepare for war on all fronts amid Iranian protests
RT


The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have been ordered to prepare for a possible simultaneous war against Iran, Lebanon, and the West Bank, according to Israeli Channel 12. One scenario reportedly includes an “explosive operation” against Tehran, which is currently facing widespread Israeli-backed cost-of-living protests.

The preparations are part of a four-year long-term plan led by IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir, the broadcaster revealed on Wednesday. On top of war readiness, they also reportedly include plans to develop capabilities to attack both satellites and ground targets from space.

Officials in West Jerusalem expect Iran to attack Israel to “prevent the dissolution” of the Iranian government under the pressure of the protests, Channel 12 said.

Israel has held off on officially commenting on the mass unrest shaking Iran, concerned about a potential military response, Channel 12 claimed. However, Israel’s Mossad spy agency has openly backed the protests on social media, and claimed that it has agents embedded in the demonstrations.

The demonstrations began in late December, prompted by hyperinflation and an enduring economic crisis in the sanctioned Islamic Republic.

The unrest, the worst in recent years, rapidly spread to multiple cities and reportedly led to deadly clashes with the Iranian authorities, with some protesters demanding the reinstatement of the monarchy, ousted by the Islamic Revolution in 1979.

US President Donald Trump has threatened to militarily intervene. “We are locked and loaded and ready to go” if Iran kills “peaceful protesters,”he said on Truth Social on Friday.

Just days before, as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visited Florida, Trump threatened to back new airstrikes on Iran if it ramps up its ballistic missile program.

Last June, Trump ordered the US military to join coordinated military strikes with Israel against Iranian nuclear sites during an open conflict between Tehran and West Jerusalem. He claimed the attack preempted the development of a nuclear weapon by the Islamic Republic – allegations Iran denied, condemning the attack as unprovoked.