Iran has said that it is working on a new strategy against Israel. This is described by Iranian media and regime members as an attempt to “unify” various fronts against Israel.
The multi-front was previewed this month when Iran encouraged Hamas to fire rockets from Gaza, and then from Lebanon and then operationalized another group called Liwa al-Quds in Syria to fire more rockets during the day after Passover. Iran also boasts of using “unseen” hands to move weapons to the West Bank.
Iran’s goal is to keep Israel on the defensive and force the conflict into Israel’s backyard, essentially negating Israel’s advantages in the air and at sea and in other domains where Israel’s hi-tech can defeat Iran more easily.
In essence this new strategy seeks to shift the conflict called the “Campaign Between the Wars” such that Iran is no longer suffering challenges to its entrenchment in Syria, but rather moving its pawns closer to Israel.
While this trend has existed for years since the Syrian regime returned to the Golan border in 2018, it was on display this week and last week, as Israeli artillery responded to Iranian-backed threats near the Golan. In addition social media accounts in Syria showed images of what they said we leaflets that are warning people there to be distant from Hezbollah. According to reports the leaflets directly mention a Syrian regime commander and Hezbollah officer. There was another incident on Tuesday, the 18.
Are the threats to the Golan a new normal?
The overall conclusion is that Iran is up to a lot of activity in Syria and that although it may face challenges, the artillery incidents near the Golan point to continued Iran-backed activity that is close to the border.
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