This time, Iran faces what it considers an existential threat from Netanyahu trying to keep assassinating the leadership in Iran as if that will bring down the government. Iran knows destroying the Dimona card may send a nuclear cloud that can even drift to Egypt in hours. This choice reflects the concept of “Samson,” which increases expectations that it might be used despite the enormous risks and regional and international concerns.
The Dimona reactor represents a symbol of “Israel’s” nuclear program. Targeting it would certainly carry dramatic consequences including the danger of a regional-scale radioactive disaster. Israeli may then respond with nuclear weapons, according to the doctrine known as the “Samson Option.”
Obviously, such an attack would lead to military escalation that cannot be contained. Iran knows that, which explains their hesitation up to now. But Netanyahu is trying to annihalate the Iranian government. If they are in such a danger, then there are no limits.
If such an otion is taken, it does not appear to be before June at the earliest. It still appears that this will continue in the Middle East until 2028.
1 comment:
From a historical perspective - Dimona, a bone of contention between JFK and David Ben Gurion in the context of nuclear proliferation circa 1961.
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