A new research paper has found ‘real world’ temperature differences in the Eastern Pacific Ocean that vary wildly from what the climate models say should be happening.
The study also suggests that La Niñas –the colder counterpart of El Niños– could keep on coming, adding to the climatic woes that the phenomenon delivers, which is to say harsher winters for much of the Northern Hemisphere, and heavy precipitation for the likes of Australia.
The global warming hypothesis favors El Niños, it always has.
The models decreed that El Niño’s would be the dominate ENSO pattern moving forward, correlating with rising global temperatures; the cold, deep ocean waters off South America were expected to rise to the surface, meet milder air and heat faster than the warmer ocean off Asia; this, in turn, would then decrease the temperature difference across the tropical Pacific and lighten the surface winds blowing toward Indonesia — aka, a El Niño setup.
Historical climate records confirm that during prior warm spells, Earth’s climate was more El Niño-like.
In recent years, however, La Niñas have been the dominant setup. In fact, the Northern Hemisphere is about to endure its third consecutive La Niña winter, something that has only occurred four times since 1900, and only twice since 1950.
So what’s going on? Is Earth now cooling?
The recent study, ‘Systematic Climate Model Biases in the Large-Scale Patterns of Recent Sea-Surface Temperature and Sea-Level Pressure Change’, looked at temperatures at the surface of the ocean recorded by ships and buoys from 1979 to 2020.
It was discovered that the Pacific Ocean off South America had actually cooled over that time, along with ocean regions farther south, too. This cannot be explained by the climate models. To put it delicately, big pieces of the puzzle are missing.
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