How Israel's attack will take place and how Hezbollah will react

Thousands of citizens leave Lebanon: How Israel's attack will take place and how Hezbollah will react - The US commitment

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On June 20, Republican Senator Marco Rubio, who is also Vice-Chair for the Senate Intelligence Committee, sounded the alarm, saying that "a very dangerous war is simmering in Middle East, between Israel and Hezbollah" with Iran's involvement on the horizon.

Rubio has been warning of this impending war for months since April of this year.

Discussions over the past 24 to 48 hours between US and Israeli officials have raised dire concerns among members of the Biden administration, who believe that an Israeli campaign against Hezbollah, beginning with large-scale air operations over Lebanon and the Southwest Syria, is imminent and may even take place in the next three weeks.

Already the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Kuwait is calling all its citizens, who are in Lebanon, to leave the country, amid fears of an escalation and a transition to a state of war, between Israel and Hezbollah, according to a report by the Jerusalem Post, today, June 22 .

At the same time, senior Canadian officials are planning a major removal operation for the approximately 45,000 Canadian citizens currently in Lebanon.

In addition, according to a report by CNN, top American officials, such as Anthony Blinken, Jake Sullivan 
(US national security adviser) and Brett McGurk (White House coordinator for Middle East affairs) pledge that in the event of a war in the north with Hezbollah , the US is ready to provide Israel with all support.

According to the report, the promise was conveyed to Israel during a series of meetings attended by those mentioned as well as Israel's Minister of Strategic Affairs, Ron Dermer, along with the head of the National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi.

The fears prevailing in Israel are partly justified. Specifically, Israeli Professor Amatsia Baram (Haifa University Professor Emeritus, Middle East History and Director of the Center for Iraq Studies), stated that 1/3 of Haifa's houses would be demolished in any war against Hezbollah, while thousands of rockets they will not leave much of Haifa.

In addition, according to a report by Haretz on June 21 , "the country's electrical grid is vulnerable and an attack by Hezbollah could cause its total collapse . " The statement was made by Shaul Goldstein, CEO of NOGA, which manages and oversees Israel's electrical systems on behalf of the Israeli government. According to Goldstein, "We are not ready for a real war, in my eyes we live in a fantasy world."

And he adds, "if Nasrallah wants to paralyze Israel's power grid, all he has to do is pick up the phone and call the head of Beirut's power grid, which is identical to Israel's... The good news is that we have invested a lot in protection, working with the Israel Electricity Company".

Hezbollah is indeed able to "bring Israel to its knees", since according to a Reuters report, it has more than 150 thousand missiles. These include precision, anti-tank, anti-aircraft and anti-ship missiles as well as unmanned aerial vehicles.

Given Nasrallah's intention to even carry out a pre-emptive strike against Israel by invading the Galilee, things get even more serious.

For example, Hezbollah has 5000 Zelzal-2 unguided, 210 km missiles, as well as hundreds of Fateh-110 guided missiles with a range of more than 300 km, weapons that can carry out Nasrallah's threats to strike Cyprus.

Amid the developments, Israeli-born Amos Hochstein, an adviser to US President Biden, traveled to Israel as well as Lebanon. In Israel he met with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, President Isaac Hertzog, Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, the leader of the official Knesset opposition, as well as Benny Gantz, a former member of the war council.

According to Haaretz, Hochstein warned that in the event of a war with Hezbollah, Iran could launch a large-scale attack, the scale of which would be difficult to deter, considering the simultaneous attack by Hezbollah.

He apparently referred to the possibility of air defense saturation of the Israeli anti-ballistic shield, consisting of 
the Iron Dome, David's Sling and Arrow 3 systems.

Hezbollah is the world's largest terrorist organization, its power surpassing even some national armies. As we mentioned above it has a huge missile arsenal, as well as some naval and anti-aircraft assets.