Friday, July 12, 2024

Escobar: The Big Picture Behind Viktor the Mediator’s Peace Shuttle


The Big Picture Behind Viktor the Mediator’s Peace Shuttle
Pepe Escobar



Viktor Orban is on a roll.

And that has set out a riotous roller coaster.

Everyone has been gripped by the extraordinary spectacle of pre-historic specimens wallowing in the Western geopolitical swamp reaching the depths of Hysteriastan at the sight of the Hungarian Prime Minister’s peace shuttle moving from Ukraine and Russia to China.

And to do that on the eve of the 75th anniversary of warmongering Global Robocop NATO has got to be the ultimate affront.

The 3-hour long Putin-Viktor The Mediator meeting in Moscow

was quite something. These are arguably Putin’s three main points:

1.Kiev cannot allow the idea of a ceasefire because that would remove the pretext for extending martial law.

2.If Kiev ends martial law, it will need to hold presidential elections. The chances of the current Ukrainian authorities winning are close to zero.

3.There should not be a truce for additional Kiev weaponizing: Moscow wants a complete and final endgame.


The clincher – not for the warmongers, but for the Global Majority – was Orban’s description of Putin:

“All negotiations with him, he is always in a good mood – this is the first thing. Secondly, he is more than 100% rational. When he negotiates, when he begins to explain, when he makes an offer, saying yes or no, he is super, super rational. How else can you say it in Hungarian? Cool headed, reserved, careful and punctual. He has discipline. So it is a real challenge to negotiate with him and be prepared to match his intellectual and political level.”

That new Eurasia security system

All of the above ties up with the concept of a new Eurasia security system proposed last month by Putin – and a key theme of discussion at the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Astana last week.

Putin has emphasized the central role of the SCO in the process, stating that a “decision was made to turn the SCO regional anti-terrorist structure into a universal center tasked with responding to the entire range of security threats.”

In a nutshell: the SCO will be arguably the key node in the new Eurasia-wide indivisibility of security arrangement. This is as huge as it gets.

It all started with the concept of Greater Eurasian Partnership, proposed by Putin in 2015 and conceptualized by Sergey Karaganov in 2018. Putin took it to another level in his meeting with key Russian diplomats in June; it’s time to set up serious bilateral and multilateral guarantees for collective Eurasian security.

That should be a security architecture, according to Putin, open to

“all Eurasian countries that wish to participate,” including “European and NATO countries.”

And it should lead to “gradually phasing out” the military presence of “external powers in Eurasia”, side by side with “establishing alternatives to Western-controlled economic mechanisms, expanding the use of national currencies in settlements, and establishing independent payment systems.”


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