Wednesday, May 24, 2023

Top Israeli General Says ‘Action’ is on Horizon Over Iran Nuclear Work, Iran reportedly building new underground nuclear facility so deep, impenetrable to missile strikes

Top Israeli General Says ‘Action’ is on Horizon Over Iran Nuclear Work



The top Israeli general raised the prospect of “action” against Iran on Tuesday even as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s national security adviser played down any immediate threat posed by a new underground nuclear facility being dug by Tehran.

World powers’ efforts to negotiate new curbs to Iranian uranium enrichment and other projects with bomb-making potential have been fruitless so far, fanning long-bruited threats by Israel to resort to force if it deems diplomacy a dead end.

“Iran has advanced with uranium enrichment further than ever before … There are negative developments on the horizon that could bring about (military) action,” Lieutenant-General Herzi Halevi, chief of Israel‘s armed forces, said in a speech.

He did not detail what those developments might be, nor what action might be taken and by whom

“We have capabilities, and others also have capabilities,” Halevi told the Herzliya Conference, an international security forum, in an apparent allusion to Israel‘s U.S. ally.

Experts are divided over whether the Israeli military has the clout to deal lasting damage to Iranian nuclear facilities that are distant, dispersed and defended. Iran denies seeking the bomb and has vowed devastating reprisals for any attack.

There has been speculation Israel might use countries on Iran’s borders as springboards for strikes. One such country, Azerbaijan, dismissed that idea despite its strong Israel ties.

“We refrain from interfering in the disputes or problems (of other countries), including by allowing or giving our territory for some operations or adventures,” Deputy Azeri Foreign Minister Fariz Rzayev said at the conference.

The Associated Press on Monday reported Iran was building a new underground site in the Zagros Mountains to replace an exposed uranium centrifuge manufacturing center at nearby Natanz that was struck by an explosion and fire in July 2020.

“This of course limits the capacity to carry out an attack, relative to above-ground facilities, which is of course easier. But what can be said about this matter is that there is nowhere that cannot be reached,” Israeli National Security Adviser Tzachi Hanegbi told the conference.


Iran reportedly building new underground nuclear facility so deep, impenetrable to missile strikes

Tal Heinrich


The Associated Press reported on Monday that Iran is building a nuclear facility “so deep in the earth that it is likely beyond the range of a last-ditch U.S. weapon designed to destroy such sites.”  

The AP based their conclusion on experts and satellite imagery showing the vicinity of the underground Natanz nuclear site, located in the Zagros Mountains in central Iran. Photos and videos from the area reveal that Iran has been digging tunnels in the mountain nearby, according to the report. 

Natanz is a key Iranian nuclear facility that has been the target of a few sabotage attacks in the past. In 2021, Iran blamed Israel for a cyberattack that caused a power outage at the site. The incident took place hours after the Natanz reactor restarted spinning advanced centrifuges capable of speeding up the production of enriched uranium.

Experts say the scale of the underground facility, as observed, indicates that Iran will likely be able to use the site for the enrichment of uranium, in addition to building centrifuges. They assess that the new site will be even deeper underground than the key nuclear facility in Fordo. 

“The depth of the facility is a concern because it would be much harder for us. It would be much harder to destroy using conventional weapons, such as like a typical bunker buster bomb,” said Steven De La Fuente, a research associate at the center who led the analysis of the tunnel work.

The report elaborated that Iran’s underground nuclear facilities have led the United States to create the GBU-57 bomb, able to penetrate through at least 60 meters (200 feet) of earth before detonating. U.S. military officials have reportedly discussed using two such bombs – one after the other – to ensure the destruction of a nuclear site.

However, the AP report stressed that it is not clear that such a strategy may not be efficient enough to operate a facility as deep as the one at Natanz.

Meanwhile, Israel’s Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said Iran has been turning civilian merchant ships into military vessels in an effort to create “floating terrorist bases.”

Speaking at the Herzliya Conference of the Institute for Policy and Strategy in central Israel on Monday, Gallant revealed that Tehran has launched a secret war against Israel on the maritime front. 

“These ships weigh tens, sometimes hundreds of thousands of tons. They are capable of carrying all kinds of weapons, including drones, missiles, advanced assault and intelligence systems. They aim to form front-line terrorist bases in areas that are remote from the Iranian border,” Gallant explained.

“The floating terrorist bases are a direct continuation of the maritime terrorism that Iran controls throughout the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea, and is working to expand it to the Indian Ocean, the Red Sea, and even the shores of the Mediterranean Sea.”

"This is a coordinated and planned policy, designed to threaten the shipping and flight routes, both military and civilian, and to create a situation of declaring a permanent threat in the maritime space,” Gallant stated.

Along with a credible military threat in front of every arena, this “will lead to an optimal confrontation with Iranian terrorism, in the air, at sea and on land," he added.



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