The bloc supporting former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu would earn 60 seats, not a majority but potentially enough to form a coalition, according to a new poll published by KAN News on Tuesday evening. The parties in the current coalition would earn 54 seats.
The Likud Party would earn 35 seats and Yesh Atid would earn 20 seats if elections were held today, according to the poll.
The two parties would be followed by Religious Zionist with 10 seats, Blue and White and Shas each with eight seats, Labor and United Torah Judaism (UTJ) each with seven seats.
Meanwhile, Prime Minister Naftali Bennett's Yamina party would earn just six seats, as would the Joint List. Israel Beytenu would earn five seats, while Ra'am and Meretz would each earn four seats.
Justice Minister Gideon Sa'ar's New Hope Party would not pass the electoral threshold and would not enter the next Knesset, according to the poll.
The poll comes amid fears that the current coalition could fall and elections could be declared after Ghaida Rinawie Zoabi (Meretz) and Mazen Ghanaim (Ra’am) voted against the bill and other Ra'am MKs and former coalition head Idit Silman absented themselves from the vote on the directive giving Israel legal jurisdiction over Israelis living in the West Bank that has been approved every five years since 1967.
Key losses expose fatal threats facing Bennett’s coalition from every direction
On Monday evening, Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s unlikely governing alliance, which has defied expectations and broken barriers, smashed through a new precedent, becoming the first Knesset since 1967 that failed to renew a key piece of legislation extending Israeli laws to West Bank settlers.
To some, the vote was the death rattle of a coalition that has somehow managed to limp through months of turbulent defections and threatened rebellions. It exposed the depth of the crisis the coalition finds itself in and laid bare a network of stressed fault lines extending from seemingly every corner of the political spectrum, any of which could bring down the coalition at any moment.
The bill — to extend the application of Israeli criminal and some civil law to settlers — failed because of three elements brought to the Knesset on coalition party slates: members of the Ra’am party, Meretz MK Ghaida Rinawie Zoabi, and rebel Yamina MK Idit Silman, who no longer sits with the coalition.
In the second blow of the night, Silman cast a deciding vote against a motion to reinstate a fellow party member in his ministerial post.
The legislative contests are expected to resume as early as Monday, when the coalition can bring the West Bank legal bill back for another attempt at its first reading.
If there still is a coalition.
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