NATO is now trying to identify who the target will be and what it will be hit with.
This means that Putin partially adopted the Russian generals' view of a "tough show" of power as revealed by War News 24/7.
The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) examines three scenarios for possible use of tactical nuclear weapons by Russia in Ukraine.
The IISS admits that the West and NATO are preparing for such a scenario.
According to the first scenario, Russia will strike an uninhabited area or a sea target with a tactical nuclear weapon. This for example can be a target in the Black Sea and the medium can be a nuclear torpedo.
The second scenario could be a low-yield nuclear strike on the battlefield.
According to the third scenario, the attack will take place in a large populated area with the aim of a political end to the war or the possible "beheading" of the Ukrainian authorities.
The British conclude that scenarios No. 1 and No. 3 are unlikely to materialize for different reasons each.
The former probably won't affect Ukraine's will to fight or Western support for Kiev, but it will generate massive global political condemnation.
“Simply put, there are no attractive military targets for Russian tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Kiev does not operate with a concentration of force large enough to justify a 10-50 kiloton explosion. Smaller nuclear weapons would be even less useful, IISS experts conclude.
In their view, the key question is what happens next after tactical nuclear weapons are used.
"Creative Ambiguity" by the British and Americans as they don't come up with what the target might be. However, they appear confident that "something will happen".
Tactical nuclear weapons, unlike strategic ones, are of low power but capable of causing just as much damage due to radiation.
The Russians may mount a nuclear warhead on 9M723-1 missiles of the Iskander-M systems, as well as on 9M728 cruise missiles. Their capacity can vary from 5 to 50 kt.
With such missiles, Russia can hit major logistics hubs, command and personnel infrastructure, missile defense and other military installations.
It is also possible to hit targets in Transcarpathia where the Ukrainian Armed Forces intend to deploy some of the incoming F-16s.
Also, tactical nuclear warheads can be installed on Kh-47M2 Kinzhal air-to-air ballistic missiles, Kh-32 cruise missiles (carried by Tu-22M3), Kh-69 and other cruise missiles
Tactical nuclear weapons in the form of nuclear-tipped missiles can also be used by artillery:
Systems D-20, 2S3 Akatsiya, Msta-B, Giatsint-B, Msta-S/SM, Malva and Koalitsiya-SV” (152 mm with 2.5 kt capacity), “Pion” and “Malka” (203 mm with capacity about 2 kt), “Tulip” (240 mm, 2 kt, firing range up to 18). km).
Russian media admit that a tactical nuclear weapon will be fired.
They note:
“Unlike strategic weapons, tactical weapons are very difficult to trace and understand where they come from.
The most accurate direction for Europeans is from somewhere in the east. At the same time, the power range of tactical ammunition ranges from one to fifty kilotons.
They note that during Russia's nuclear drills, F-16s were also targeted, which they said would be considered a potential carrier of nuclear weapons.
Any such aircraft would be considered armed with a nuclear bomb."
So will any Ukrainian airport be hit? The Russians do not answer explicitly.
It is more likely that the west will have a false flag nuke event to gain support for NATO to enter the war against Russia. My guess is Germany will be the target, The nuke will come across the sea.
ReplyDeleteMiscalculation as usual on the part of military planners. Putin, if he decides to go nuclear will go all in. No half measures as any thing less will have little affect on the status quo when dealing with narcissistic globalist bent on destroying his country. He will hit Brussels, Washington, London, Berlin and leave Kiev untouched as the prevailing winds blow his way.
ReplyDeletePutin fully understands that this war was never with the people of Ukraine nor any common people anywhere else. Probably why he has slow walked this war hoping that a regime change might occur prior to having to do the unthinkable. He also knows exactly whom his advisories are. It isn’t as though they hide their intentions. Why he hasn’t employed a more tactical decapitation approach by reaching out and touching one of those high profile globalists and putting the fear of … is anyone’s guess. The only way this nonsense stops is if those that are pushing this globalist agenda come to realize that they are legitimate targets themselves and can be reached at any given moment to feel the consequences of their actions. If and when he comes to that conclusion all this nonsense might come to an end. 99.9 percent of the global population just want to live their lives and enjoy the beautiful and bountiful gift that GOD has bestowed upon humanity, but unfortunately the.1 percent that that act like a disruptive child in the classroom of life.
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