Monday, November 28, 2011

Updates From The Epicenter:

A few interesting stories were generated today:

Time for another mysterious explosion near a key Iranian military facility

Less than two weeks after a mysterious explosion destroyed an Iranian missile base near Tehran, the Islamic Republic’s official news agency Fars reported Tuesday that a loud blast was heard in the city of Isfahan at 2:40 pm local time, but later removed the report…

Iran’s uranium conversion plant is located just outside Isfahan – one of the country’s largest cities…

In a curious turn of events, shortly after the initial report was published, the item was removed from the [Fars] news agency’s website, which is affiliated with the country’s Revolutionary Guard.

Hours later, conflicting reports began to surface, the deputy governor of Isfahan province telling Iran’s Mehr news agency that there was no report of a major explosion in the province.

Isfahan’s deputy mayor confirmed to Fars that the city had been rocked by a huge explosion. Then, after that report was quickly blacked out, he turned around and told Mehr it was all a big fat lie.

So what happened? Mossad infiltration? Undetectable CIA super-drone? The wickedly insidious hand of Stuxnet II at work? Iran’s already admitted that its computers have been infected, you know. Or was it some sort of fiendishly clever Iranian psy op designed to convince the west that it needn’t attack because Iran’s nuke program is already being sabotaged by some shadowy heroic outfit?

The smartest take I’ve seen on this is from our own J.E. Dyer, who argues that it’s none of the above:

[T]here are good reasons to doubt that the uranium conversion facility – the main operational component of the Iranian nuclear network in Esfahan – was being targeted.

I very much doubt the UCF was attacked, and it is very unlikely that it suffered an accidental explosion. (The UF6 stored there could not have caused a blast like the one reported.)…

One thing these sites have in common is that they store lots of fuel. A blast of the size reported, which was heard in several places throughout Esfahan and broke windows in some (unspecified) areas of it, was probably caused by a fuel depot explosion.

The speculation is that this explosion may have been done by Iranian dissidents.

So whodunnit? Dyer, citing Michael Ledeen, thinks it was local dissidents waging war against the Revolutionary Guard from within.

More interesting however - is the fact that this article also takes a look back at the explosion that occurred back on November 13, and gives some new information:

It is an assumption a Western intelligence source insists is correct: the Mossad — the Israeli agency charged with covert operations — did it. “Don’t believe the Iranians that it was an accident,” the official tells TIME, adding that other sabotage is being planned to impede the Iranian ability to develop and deliver a nuclear weapon. “There are more bullets in the magazine,” the official says.

The powerful blast or series of blasts — reports described an initial explosion followed by a much larger one — devastated a missile base in the gritty urban sprawl to the west of the Iranian capital. The base housed Shahab missiles, which, at their longest range, can reach Israel. Last week’s report from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) said Iran had experimented with removing the conventional warhead on the Shahab-3 and replacing it with one that would hold a nuclear device. Iran says the explosion was an accident that came while troops were transferring ammunition out of the depot “toward the appropriate site.”

Eye Witnesses Claim 'Unusual' Movement Of Israeli Missiles

Multiple eyewitnesses reported seeing Israeli military trucks in recent days transport and station large missiles at the periphery of Jerusalem and in locations inside the West Bank.

The descriptions of the projectiles are consistent with the Jewish state’s mid-to-long range Jericho ballistic missiles.

The missile movement, if confirmed, would be considered unusual.

Earlier this month, the IDF did test fire a long-range ballistic missile, believed to be a Jericho III, at the country’s Palmachim Air & Space test center. Israel’s Ministry of Defense confirmed the test was successful, indicating the purpose of the launch was the testing of a new advanced propulsion system.

Jericho III’s are believed to be guided by radar and reportedly give Israel nuclear strike capabilities within the entire Middle East, Africa, Europe, Asia and almost all parts of North America, as well as within large parts of South America and North Oceania.

Any missile placement could be related to the unstable situation in Syria, including fears of a future NATO military campaign there that could have ramifications for Israel, such as firing of missiles into the Jewish state by Syria or Hezbollah in Lebanon.

And once again, we see the threats against Israel:

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad warned in an interview with a U.K. newspaper earlier this month that foreign intervention in Syria would cause an “earthquake” across the region and create another Afghanistan, while directly threatening the Jewish state.

Assad reportedly made similar comments in a meeting in early October with Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmad Davutoglu.
He was quoted stating, “If a crazy measure is taken against Damascus, I will need not more than six hours to transfer hundreds of rockets and missiles to the Golan Heights to fire them at Tel Aviv.”

Assad also reportedly warned that “all these events will happen in three hours, but in the second three hours, Iran will attack the U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf and the U.S. and European interests will be targeted simultaneously.”

This next story is possibly important because its been a long time since missiles have been launched into Israel from Lebanon:

2 Rockets from Lebanon lands in Galilee; None Hurt

At least two rockets fired from Lebanon landed inside of Israeli territory near Biranit and Netua in the Western Galilee, some 700 meters from the Lebanese border overnight Monday, a police spokesman told The Jerusalem Post.

The Western Galilee was a target of Hezbollah rocket attacks during the 2006 Lebanon War, but the front has been largely quiet for the past several years.

An explosion was also heard in the Ma'alot area in the Western Galilee. Police were searching the area with the help of the IDF for signs of an additional projectile falling.

Army Radio reported that the projectile which landed in Biranit was a Katyusha rocket.


Anonymous said...

It's happening...

Caver said...

I saw the initial pictures of the explosion before the photograph was taken back and the "nothing happened" line replaced it.

It was a huge plume of smoke from the ground to as high as the camera caught in the sky. It was high.

As said in the OP, there is nothing that I know of in an enrichment facility that can produce this type of explosion.

Caver said...

Update: Fox news had a live report that said the facility was much more than just an enrichment facility.

According to them, this complex was the central hub for uranium processing. That would be more in keeping with this reported scope of massive explosion.

The US is maneuvering a satellite over the site to get pictures of this "non event".

Dylan said...

Anonymous- I've got this feeling it's either happening or just about to happen. Either way, I say amen to your statement. Maranatha!

gearedup2go said...

I'll join you both in the amen! Let's go home, y'all.

Anonymous said...

However it turns out , I was able to share this blog with a loved one over the holidays and I am very glad. We are one step closer (in more ways than one). What a time to live!! Anon

DrWho said...

I agree. Europe is about to crash and change into something new. Economic hardship in Germany caused the people to turn to an Austrian who promised a solution. They will do it again.

The Middle East is turning into a bad spaghetti western with all of the cowboys pointing their guns at someone else. NATO at Syria, Syria at Israel, Israel at Iran, Iran at Turkey...

The US is actively eliminating every dictator who would resist a global government.

The Senate is voting on allowing US military operations against citizens who might resist change.

All we need is a spark and everything will go boom.

Pray, witness and serve God while there is still time.

DrNofog said...

Please pray for my wife. I just had to take her to the hospital this evening due to more complications with diabetes swelling in her upper abdominal area causing shortness of breath, in conjunction with congestive heart condition.
They 1st said keeping her overnite, but now they are saying maybe a couple of days.
Thanx everyone

Anonymous said...

I will only say this ONCE since it
does NOT need to be repeated....

Elliott Wave Works.....

and THAT is why I use it....

I have been critized and SCOFFED at
about this but I do NOT care.

I go with what i believe in !!!!

When that GOLD does crash, perhaps
I will get some respect for what
I believe in, I hope so.

in cash right now or BUY PUTS on
the stock market. No Gold, No
Silver, No stocks, JUST CASH.

Read James chapter 5 if you guys
think I'm full of it.

There is a prophecy there about
how the Gold and Silver will come
back to HAUNT the rich in this

HOW ??

BY CRASHING of course.....

Stephen >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Expected Imminently said...

Dear DrNofog
Please be assured that I am lifting you both to the Fathers throne for mercy, healing and peace in Jesus' wonderful Name.

God bless and keep you both in His tender care.

(((Group hug))))

Anonymous said...

And yet, despite all this, we have
stocks, are u ready for this ????

They are going UP tonight.....

well, I guess we all got to take a chill pill and be patient.

The SPARK is OUT there, but NOT YET
ready to light the fire....

Stephen !!!!!!

Caver said...

Dr No, prayers from the Caver household.

Anonymous said...

EW is Astrology – its about lucking out not science. Don’t trust nor wait on God when the sun moon and stars give a exciting forecast right away. Give to Caesar what belongs Caesar and the devil is in the detail.

The underlying premise of Elliott Wave theory is that human behavior—as manifested in the movement of the stock market—can be modeled as a series of discrete patterns that recur predictably. This conclusion arises from a mistaken analogy between stock price movements and other phenomena found in nature. For centuries, people noticed that there were predictable patterns in snail shells, planetary orbits, ocean tides, and many other processes or objects. Often, these patterns were so consistent that they could be mapped to mathematical functions with a high degree of accuracy. Crucially, it was not necessary to understand why a particular mathematical function was able to predict a natural pattern. In other words, the underlying inputs (causal variables) of the pattern could remain unknown for centuries even though the mathematical model continued to forecast the pattern accurately. As an example, people were able to predict the movements of celestial bodies long before they had identified and understood the main underlying input (gravity) responsible for the model.

If you want to understand why Elliott Wave theory is flawed, it is important to distinguish between two very different categories of knowledge (and/or ignorance) about an underlying input. The first, which I will call the “Input Identity” or “Input Existence”, is simply the identification that the input exists at all. The second, which I call the “Input Degree” is the quantitative (or at least, relatively ordinal qualitative) value for the underlying input once its existence/identity has already been determined.

Input Existence and Input Degree are two very different things. To illustrate this idea using our example of celestial motion, early astronomers had neither (1) identified that a force yet to be called “gravity” existed at all (i.e. they lacked knowledge of the Input Existence), nor had they (2) the means to assign any value (Input Degree) to this input, regardless of whether they had yet identified its existence or not. Thus, it was an “unknown unknown”.

Once both the gravitational force and the tools for calculating it were discovered, the patterns of celestial bodies suddenly made more sense. As mentioned above, the history of science is full of such examples of "ex-post-discoveries" of underlying inputs that retroactively explained empirically accurate (but theretofore mysterious) mathematical models of natural patterns. What’s important to note here is that the explanatory variables for these patterns were most often (1) relatively few in number (2) not considered to be exhaustive and/or capable of making the mathematical model perfect. In the case of the movements of celestial bodies, we know that the basic gravitational calculation of masses and distances won’t be enough to predict a planet’s movement with 100% accuracy, since there are relativistic and other effects at play as well (including even changes in mass due to atmospheric dissipation, etc.). But what’s important is that the errors are small—in other words, our knowledge of the Input Existence and Input Degree for celestial motion is robust enough to facilitate launching probes to other planets. Read more by Orvin Five

Scott said...

DrNo - hope she gets better soon; praying for both of you.

GG said...

Dear Doc~

So sorry to hear about this. Please know I am thinking of you and your wife today and am lifting you both up in prayer right now.

Heavenly Father, We know are the great physician, who can heal all things! I come against any spirit of infirmity in the sweet name of Jesus. May all the fluids release due to this condition and Doc's wife can come home soon without further damage to her heart. In Jesus name. Amen!

God Bless!!


gearedup2go said...

DrNo, how is your wife this morning? Keeping you and your family in thought and prayer.

DrWho said...

Dr No
You and your wife are in my prayers.

WVBORN56 said...

Praying for your wife DrNo.

Alice said...

DrNo, lifting your wife and you in prayer!

Dutch Treat said...

Dr. No: You can add me to the list of those who are praying for you and your wife. It seems like the older we get the longer the prayer list gets.

Expected Imminently said...

Hello Stephen

James 5 is not a ‘prophecy’ to claim for now, it is a mistake to interpret this as a ‘crash’ in Gold and Silver. Rather it a warning to not put our trust in anything other than The Lord Himself.

The timing context of James 5:1-3 concerns the 2nd Coming when Jesus returns as the Lord of Sabaoth meaning ‘the Lord of Armies’ which is when He comes as a Lion, a mighty warrior to destroy Gentile rule led by A/c and his world wealthy followers.

Many are hording up treasure and other valuables to safeguard them from the coming Tribulation. Those who put their faith and trust in collections of Gold, Silver, precious stones, money, fuel, food, clothing etc, will not be benefitted by them, as they will be as dross trampled underfoot. There is no heavenly reward for earthly treasure.

Previously James has been encouraging us to have complete dependence upon God. James is rebuking anyone that lives independently from God, the most likely are the rich in worldly wealth, but it equally applies to anyone who is trusting anything and anyone other than God revealed in His Word.

Everything that is not of God will be burned up and destroyed. We are called instead to build up treasures in heaven which moth and rust cannot destroy or thieves break in and steal. Matthew 6:19-21


DrNofog said...

DrWho said "...spaghetti western with all of the cowboys pointing their guns at someone else..."

TGTB&TU: One of Scott's favorites, from what he let slip awhile back!

I think they still hold the world record for the longest suspense-standoff [next to the upcoming I17] before they finally slapped fer their guns.

Oooeeeeoooeeeeoooooo! Waaah,waaah,waaah!

DrWho said...

DrNo- I am glad the cowboy analogy was not wasted :-)

Scott said...

DrNo - I think you are correct...Sergio Leone would hold a scene FOREVER (one of his traits as a director)...The last gunfight scene lasted ~ 5 minutes I believe....Man, what a classic!

And don't forget "For a few Dollars More" - another classic ("A Fistful of Dollars not so much IMO)

I need to link that last scene from GBU.....:)